WNBA · resolved market
Spread: New York Liberty (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x632d9cd313c5baacc9a12f93ccc8c8b2a1438b2811e63c1bf8171addbbcc9cc7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toronto Tempoof New York Liberty, Toronto Tempo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,357
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,492
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,357 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x021c…232fbacked New York Liberty | 53c | 3,900$2,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,067 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Toronto Tempo | 47c | 3,174$1,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,697.01 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed New York Liberty | 50c | 2,614$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,307.12 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 2,600$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed New York Liberty | 51c | 2,385$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216.35 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Toronto Tempo | 49c | 2,211$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.07 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed New York Liberty | 54c | 1,868$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 230 | 49.6%114 W · 116 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Toronto Tempo | 47c | 1,050$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.47 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Toronto Tempo | 49c | 1,040$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.4 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Toronto Tempo | 47c | 950.57$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.8 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Toronto Tempo | 48c | 557.51$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.52 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1378…dbd2backed New York Liberty | 54c | 536.25$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.05 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5d…7501backed New York Liberty | 54c | 524.72$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.35 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked New York Liberty | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -10.5wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Toronto Tempo | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked New York Liberty | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ef…5a1cbacked New York Liberty | 53c | 332.91$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.44 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Toronto Tempo | 47c | 319.14$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.14 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -8.2wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Toronto Tempo | 47c | 212$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.36 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5843…db42backed Toronto Tempo | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Toronto Tempo | 47c | 194.25$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.95 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -7.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed New York Liberty | 53c | 160$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.8 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Toronto Tempo | 47c | 155.49$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.79 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked New York Liberty | 53c | 105$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.65 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed New York Liberty | 53c | 102.06$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.09 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…7574backed New York Liberty | 51c | 98.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -53%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23e8…4fffbacked New York Liberty | 51c | 98.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed New York Liberty | 17c | 92.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Toronto Tempo | 71c | 88.82$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Toronto Tempo | 77c | 78.86$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Toronto Tempo | 49c | 67.36$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.35 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4548…e4b5backed Toronto Tempo | 47c | 48.05$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.47 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -7.6wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Toronto Tempo | 48c | 39.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.63 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x085a…58a8backed New York Liberty | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +5.9wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Toronto Tempo | 47c | 37.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked New York Liberty | 29c | 37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked New York Liberty | 29c | 37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 239 | 55.2%132 W · 107 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed New York Liberty | 28c | 36.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Toronto Tempo | 47c | 35.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.07 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed New York Liberty | 53c | 32.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Toronto Tempo | 74c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Toronto Tempo | 48c | 28.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.59 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f11…749dbacked Toronto Tempo | 47c | 25.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New York Liberty (-6.5)this page
- New York Liberty vs. Toronto TempoToronto Tempo won
- New York Liberty vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 175.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 176.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 177.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 178.5Over won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-7.5)Toronto Tempo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.