TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Spread: New York Liberty (-7.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Toronto Tempoof New York Liberty, Toronto Tempo
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$14,488
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$14,392

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,488 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xafe4…f3f7backed Toronto Tempo53c6,500$3,445 inWon+$3,05527449.6%136 W · 138 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed New York Liberty47c6,053$2,845 inLost-$2,845.0678548.8%383 W · 402 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Toronto Tempo61c2,530$1,534 inWon+$995.8823049.6%114 W · 116 L-13.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1316…48a4backed Toronto Tempo53c2,000$1,060 inWon+$94013746%63 W · 74 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked New York Liberty47c1,802$847 inLost-$847.011,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed New York Liberty50c1,468$734 inLost-$733.764623.9%11 W · 35 L-7.7wins-0.17per pick41cpaid-48.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Toronto Tempo52c1,284$668 inWon+$615.481,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed New York Liberty47c961.38$452 inLost-$451.8589349.4%441 W · 452 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked New York Liberty47c428.86$202 inLost-$201.5613147.3%62 W · 69 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked New York Liberty16c427.5$68 inLost-$68.417431.1%23 W · 51 L-6.3wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-34.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Toronto Tempo53c413.81$217 inWon+$196.323956.4%22 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+21.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked New York Liberty47c400$188 inLost-$18817946.4%83 W · 96 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed New York Liberty47c397.16$187 inLost-$186.6783748.1%403 W · 434 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Toronto Tempo53c377.86$200 inWon+$177.867450%37 W · 37 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked New York Liberty47c319.14$150 inLost-$149.996137.7%23 W · 38 L-8.2wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-26.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed New York Liberty48c139$67 inLost-$66.7216450%82 W · 82 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked New York Liberty9c119.25$11 inLost-$11.057451.4%38 W · 36 L+8.2wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+11.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe11c…c7f7backed New York Liberty49c101.91$50 inLost-$5030%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked New York Liberty19c78.11$15 inLost-$14.6534753.9%187 W · 160 L+20.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9565…ec9abacked Toronto Tempo50c73.98$37 inWon+$36.996827.9%19 W · 49 L-8.4wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-41.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xaa61…7f3bbacked New York Liberty49c70$34 inLost-$34.328558.6%167 W · 118 L+20.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed New York Liberty47c68.16$32 inLost-$32.0515938.4%61 W · 98 L-16.5wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-21.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Toronto Tempo50c64.83$32 inWon+$32.4224656.5%139 W · 107 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked New York Liberty47c50.01$24 inLost-$23.532346.7%151 W · 172 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x67f6…1651backed New York Liberty20c50$10 inLost-$10633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-36.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked New York Liberty47c50$24 inLost-$23.51450%7 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed New York Liberty48c44.89$21 inLost-$21.4122446%103 W · 121 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Toronto Tempo52c42.77$22 inWon+$20.5338645.9%177 W · 209 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84b8…d83abacked Toronto Tempo53c36.98$20 inWon+$17.38785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.36per pick49cpaid+75.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x522f…1164backed New York Liberty47c36.98$17 inLost-$17.387646.1%35 W · 41 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebbe…04b0backed Toronto Tempo68c36.76$25 inWon+$11.76366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed New York Liberty48c35.69$17 inLost-$17.1364152%333 W · 308 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3a2…b515backed New York Liberty47c30$14 inLost-$14.1977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick57cpaid+38.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc54…26edbacked New York Liberty48c25.36$12 inLost-$12.171637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Toronto Tempo57c23.31$13 inWon+$105457.4%31 W · 23 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.