WNBA · resolved market
New York Liberty vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 178.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6564b4add4011802c2b07b3bf297f19858bd4d657a16fcc74c9610239aa2350b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,413
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,294
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,413 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Under | 52c | 23,862$12,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,483.21 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0467…fb2ebacked Over | 48c | 8,568$4,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,455.6 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 45c | 5,491$2,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,025.1 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 33c | 3,237$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,169.05 | 391 | 50.4%197 W · 194 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Under | 63c | 3,194$2,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,011.97 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 48c | 2,697$1,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,412.63 | 932 | 48.8%455 W · 477 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 47c | 2,287$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.5 | 472 | 46.8%221 W · 251 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 48c | 2,030$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.75 | 410 | 51.2%210 W · 200 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 47c | 1,949$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.93 | 796 | 48.7%388 W · 408 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1dfdbacked Over | 52c | 1,655$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.7 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 48c | 1,284$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.55 | 420 | 46.7%196 W · 224 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Over | 33c | 1,101$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.01 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 48c | 807.69$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Under | 52c | 700$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Under | 57c | 608.87$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 34c | 578.88$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.81 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +15.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Under | 6c | 482.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 454 | 15.6%71 W · 383 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Over | 34c | 403.51$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.79 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 47c | 346.97$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.16 | 1,012 | 47.9%485 W · 527 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Over | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -8.2wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 38c | 280.67$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.27 | 414 | 46.6%193 W · 221 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7886…ec60backed Over | 37c | 222.67$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.28 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Over | 49c | 213.76$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.02 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 36c | 213$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.01 | 321 | 48.6%156 W · 165 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ef…b630backed Over | 48c | 205.62$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.92 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Over | 52c | 200$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.55 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 36c | 197$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.56 | 370 | 54.1%200 W · 170 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Over | 35c | 192.01$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.53 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Under | 65c | 185.81$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | -14.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Over | 35c | 155$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.87 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 36c | 155$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.74 | 242 | 55.4%134 W · 108 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 51c | 107.86$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 33c | 107$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.69 | 253 | 45.8%116 W · 137 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 22c | 98.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 612 | 42.3%259 W · 353 L | -31.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Over | 35c | 97.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.8 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe246…dedcbacked Over | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.91 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Over | 50c | 84.51$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.55 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 35c | 83.7$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.46 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | +10.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Over | 47c | 77.41$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.73 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 37c | 65.73$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.41 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 35c | 55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.9 | 515 | 52.6%271 W · 244 L | +18.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 564 | 55.1%311 W · 253 L | +27.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Over | 33c | 47.55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.86 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 50c | 45.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 427 | 49.4%211 W · 216 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 59c | 37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 312 | 49.4%154 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…3106backed Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 33c | 36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 215 | 46.5%100 W · 115 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x701c…b953backed Under | 49c | 34.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Over | 70c | 28.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 50c | 25.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1957…0e20backed Over | 51c | 19.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Liberty vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 178.5this page
- New York Liberty vs. Toronto TempoToronto Tempo won
- New York Liberty vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 175.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 176.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 177.5Over won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-6.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-7.5)Toronto Tempo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.