WNBA · resolved market
New York Liberty vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 175.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf3b5a467ca90cf3cd214675f7a7dcbd73cf856f348e3a87db22f92ddbe7e796
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,483
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,101
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,483 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x70dc…1dfdbacked Under | 54c | 15,658$8,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,436.01 | 64 | 67.2%43 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 47c | 8,442$3,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,463.64 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 45c | 8,207$3,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,508.72 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Under | 49c | 1,976$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.23 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Over | 59c | 1,356$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.93 | 230 | 49.6%114 W · 116 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 41c | 673$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.93 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 41c | 417.93$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.35 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Over | 50c | 390$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd176…78bbbacked Over | 51c | 380.65$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 50c | 360$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 45c | 325$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.05 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Over | 47c | 295$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.35 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 52c | 223.56$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.25 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 45c | 194.5$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.53 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 47c | 185$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.05 | 239 | 55.2%132 W · 107 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 47c | 185$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.05 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 47c | 148$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.44 | 314 | 48.4%152 W · 162 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Over | 47c | 148$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.44 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 48c | 146.23$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.55 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Over | 47c | 143$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.79 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 47c | 129.7$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.74 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 47c | 125.62$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.58 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 51c | 118$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.82 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Over | 47c | 106$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.18 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Over | 51c | 105.39$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.64 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Over | 56c | 98.69$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.69 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 49c | 80$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.84 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 52c | 68.95$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.12 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 55c | 48.73$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.07 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Under | 49c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x085a…58a8backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +5.9wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 55c | 39.85$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4548…e4b5backed Under | 45c | 37.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -7.6wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 52c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Over | 51c | 32.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e64…7308backed Over | 56c | 30.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 52cpaid | +71%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…83adbacked Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb93…94cfbacked Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 47c | 25.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 79c | 15.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.35 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Liberty vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 175.5this page
- New York Liberty vs. Toronto TempoToronto Tempo won
- New York Liberty vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 176.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 177.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 178.5Over won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-6.5)Toronto Tempo won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-7.5)Toronto Tempo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.