TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$86,051
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$85,540

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,051 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Under52c48,906$25,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,303.834,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Over48c45,477$21,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,828.7855053.1%292 W · 258 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Under56c10,000$5,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,399.9548952.8%258 W · 231 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over47c4,179$1,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,964.1371650.7%363 W · 353 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over41c3,536$1,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,455.524,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Under53c3,039$1,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,428.9320350.7%103 W · 100 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over41c2,951$1,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,204.312,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over44c2,889$1,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,269.241,26951.1%648 W · 621 L+23.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Over44c2,880$1,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,267.1854152.1%282 W · 259 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over44c2,485$1,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,084.1510,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over47c2,429$1,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,141.522,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under59c2,109$1,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.864,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10e0…c736backed Under54c2,048$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$938.5317951.4%92 W · 87 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed Over49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00066050.2%331 W · 329 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbd60…396cbacked Under51c1,963$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961.6919546.2%90 W · 105 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd69a…d57fbacked Under54c1,600$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7362365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+27.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over33c1,500$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.121,79643.8%786 W · 1,010 L-33.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under68c1,281$872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.218,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Over47c1,065$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.5568053.2%362 W · 318 L+2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Over46c1,010$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.8265549.3%323 W · 332 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02b5…2ff8backed Under52c960$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.84833.3%16 W · 32 L-7.7wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under53c866.63$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.3129752.5%156 W · 141 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over46c832.45$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.046,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over30c610.69$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.695,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under52c500.09$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.672,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e79…56dcbacked Under52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2401546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Over19c441.06$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.7954715.9%87 W · 460 L-40.7wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-44.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Over46c400$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18422448.7%109 W · 115 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under76c363.65$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.869,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over46c349.13$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.645748.6%222 W · 235 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under59c341.14$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.831,00058.8%588 W · 412 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Over37c321.62$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11926545.7%121 W · 144 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa65c…509dbacked Over49c306.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15024350.2%122 W · 121 L-0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Over44c288$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.7240554.8%222 W · 183 L+17.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Over44c288$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.7223851.3%122 W · 116 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over46c232.81$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.055,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Under57c228.68$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.6881257.3%465 W · 347 L-1.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Over44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10058649.5%290 W · 296 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb515…7e2bbacked Under75c212.14$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.364658.7%27 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2495…4fc0backed Over48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over48c181.51$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.1241346.7%193 W · 220 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over27c171$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.868,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under66c166.69$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.531,21855.6%677 W · 541 L+94.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Over42c153.16$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.2473355.3%405 W · 328 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e2f…0040backed Over49c151.53$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.25812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.28per pick40cpaid-77.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under53c140$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.81,17249.1%575 W · 597 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Over15c137.91$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.794,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Over57c137$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.7579442.4%337 W · 457 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under70c134.19$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.415,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under52c119.99$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.62,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under54c119$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.438,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0370…bf33backed Under54c103.7$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.71560%9 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39b2…157cbacked Over49c103.09$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5114750.3%74 W · 73 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffc4…b347backed Under78c103$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.727268.1%49 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick67cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff2a…bfefbacked Over37c102.7$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3831343.5%136 W · 177 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Under60c101.95$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.641,20558.8%708 W · 497 L+31.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471,27951.2%655 W · 624 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Under52c99.68$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.3852852.1%275 W · 253 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under53c92.95$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.694,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fb1…8436backed Under54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5927644.9%124 W · 152 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0182…301cbacked Under79c92.17$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.188862.5%55 W · 33 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed Over47c92$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2468846.8%322 W · 366 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88fb…db3abacked Over48c83.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4073243.4%318 W · 414 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over47c82.83$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.342,94547.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L+3.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Over49c81.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401,19753.9%645 W · 552 L+42.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over29c77.24$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.63,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over48c68.75$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59d7…f69dbacked Over44c68.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309147.3%43 W · 48 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over46c68$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.282,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf655…7f1abacked Over32c61.88$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.841236.7%151 W · 261 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Over48c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.61,75350.8%890 W · 863 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x508d…3961backed Over24c59.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.41533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over42c58.31$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3611,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab8b…24ffbacked Under59c56.79$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.1824843.5%108 W · 140 L-13.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Under53c56$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.688247.7%421 W · 461 L+3.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under74c55.54$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.614,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55d6…1f24backed Over47c53.23$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0231258%181 W · 131 L+15.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa384…3c9fbacked Over48c53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4428147.7%134 W · 147 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59ab…18c6backed Over47c51.91$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.411151.4%57 W · 54 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Under74c51.42$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5857046.8%267 W · 303 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Over47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019252.6%101 W · 91 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Under53c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.873849.3%364 W · 374 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a62…5247backed Over48c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.214047.9%67 W · 73 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b0f…b7aebacked Over49c38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6252638.4%202 W · 324 L+1.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under70c36.99$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.11,84343.6%804 W · 1,039 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fd6…81f6backed Under53c36.68$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2410864.8%70 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick67cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed Under52c36.54$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5439553.7%212 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc730…c568backed Over46c35.81$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4735747.6%170 W · 187 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Under53c35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4545045.8%206 W · 244 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under67c35$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.610253.9%55 W · 47 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Under63c34.54$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9543459%256 W · 178 L+19.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x59e6…ed04backed Under59c33.89$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Under51c33$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.281,77749.5%880 W · 897 L+25.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under51c32.67$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.011,80453.8%970 W · 834 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Over49c32.67$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0129549.8%147 W · 148 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.313054.6%71 W · 59 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Over50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1562554.2%339 W · 286 L+18.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17f5…f087backed Over44c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118644.2%38 W · 48 L-8.7wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-24.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa662…c8adbacked Under54c23.81$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.95560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under56c22.42$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.951,81449.1%891 W · 923 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.