TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Colorado Rockiesof San Francisco Giants, Colorado Rockies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$109,466
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$105,848

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,466 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a26…937ebacked San Francisco Giants39c37,773$14,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,903.5561351.5%316 W · 297 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Colorado Rockies59c19,542$11,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,012.2485645.3%388 W · 468 L+18.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+36.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed San Francisco Giants39c16,827$6,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,622.8810,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed San Francisco Giants30c4,009$1,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,206.958,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Colorado Rockies59c4,004$2,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,641.633,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Colorado Rockies67c3,448$2,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,124.34,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Colorado Rockies67c3,101$2,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,023.81,26951.1%648 W · 621 L+23.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2735…42ebbacked Colorado Rockies77c2,484$1,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.25570.9%39 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Colorado Rockies78c2,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4406666.7%44 W · 22 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+6.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Colorado Rockies67c1,750$1,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.582636.6%302 W · 524 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Colorado Rockies60c1,625$974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.7743459%256 W · 178 L+19.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Colorado Rockies59c1,513$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.76,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked San Francisco Giants33c1,424$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.8911,35652.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L+209.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed San Francisco Giants37c1,333$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.243,20851.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L+146.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked San Francisco Giants37c1,121$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.894,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0467…fb2ebacked San Francisco Giants40c1,057$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.876747.8%32 W · 35 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Colorado Rockies59c1,043$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.275,40050.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L+17.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed San Francisco Giants36c1,002$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.481,04349%511 W · 532 L+3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Colorado Rockies59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41029752.5%156 W · 141 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed San Francisco Giants41c998.87$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.681,21855.6%677 W · 541 L+94.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed San Francisco Giants38c949.33$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.6912,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Colorado Rockies59c817.34$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.881,79643.8%786 W · 1,010 L-33.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63ec…3b76backed San Francisco Giants41c731.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010750.5%54 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Colorado Rockies68c629.42$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.818,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed San Francisco Giants37c485.16$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.953,45651.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L+107.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed San Francisco Giants31c445.98$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.214,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Colorado Rockies46c434.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.7825751.8%133 W · 124 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd52…aa25backed Colorado Rockies60c416.67$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.6728152%146 W · 135 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e2f…0040backed San Francisco Giants41c381.51$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.42812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.28per pick40cpaid-77.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Colorado Rockies67c373$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.091,34547.7%642 W · 703 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed San Francisco Giants19c352.89$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.7529549.8%147 W · 148 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Colorado Rockies59c339$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.992,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed San Francisco Giants41c314.93$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.122,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8492…f17cbacked Colorado Rockies78c311.54$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.541866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+74.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed San Francisco Giants42c300$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12658652.7%309 W · 277 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Colorado Rockies58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1268,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37bd…ed2abacked San Francisco Giants35c270$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.513153.4%70 W · 61 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Colorado Rockies67c268.81$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.7140554.8%222 W · 183 L+17.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed San Francisco Giants41c219.51$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9094549%463 W · 482 L-38.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed San Francisco Giants38c204$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.9815848.7%77 W · 81 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Colorado Rockies60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8070737.6%266 W · 441 L+24.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed San Francisco Giants42c199$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.581,77749.5%880 W · 897 L+25.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc23…a9f2backed San Francisco Giants41c196$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.3646854.5%255 W · 213 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1719…ec68backed San Francisco Giants41c196$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.3672154.2%391 W · 330 L+20.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+144.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Colorado Rockies56c179.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.338950.6%45 W · 44 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0570…16c9backed San Francisco Giants36c141.8$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6810642.5%45 W · 61 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa69d…228ebacked San Francisco Giants41c124.39$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5119335.8%69 W · 124 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf213…a627backed San Francisco Giants41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5068942.2%291 W · 398 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked San Francisco Giants42c116.57$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4655658.1%323 W · 233 L+25.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed San Francisco Giants35c114.49$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.682,14439.6%849 W · 1,295 L+0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd5a…aa7abacked San Francisco Giants62c93.58$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.187448.6%36 W · 38 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed San Francisco Giants24c79.16$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9569447.6%330 W · 364 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed San Francisco Giants39c68.67$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8673355.3%405 W · 328 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f9…5273backed San Francisco Giants38c65.63$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9453644.6%239 W · 297 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked San Francisco Giants36c62$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.355,12654.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L+231.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee9d…29a1backed San Francisco Giants43c61.55$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.474050%20 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59ab…18c6backed San Francisco Giants41c60.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511151.4%57 W · 54 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9565…ec9abacked San Francisco Giants40c55.12$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8715349%75 W · 78 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x69ee…2d27backed San Francisco Giants29c54.75$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.942832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-32.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed San Francisco Giants45c51.03$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.12,14750.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L+27.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbc1…53babacked Colorado Rockies61c50.06$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.683834.2%13 W · 25 L-4.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-36.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xbbdf…b8a0backed San Francisco Giants46c49.17$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.679259.8%55 W · 37 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Colorado Rockies28c47.52$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.3554715.9%87 W · 460 L-40.7wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-44.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Colorado Rockies70c47$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.192046%423 W · 497 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Colorado Rockies60c46.95$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7897944.4%435 W · 544 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c3f…e6a2backed Colorado Rockies70c45.01$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.524448.8%119 W · 125 L-14.9wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Colorado Rockies52c44$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.125,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Colorado Rockies67c40.63$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.264,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadde…ec24backed San Francisco Giants45c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93a2…5181backed Colorado Rockies61c39.6$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4419542.6%83 W · 112 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed Colorado Rockies58c35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.739553.7%212 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Colorado Rockies74c29.56$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.621,81349.1%891 W · 922 L-26.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked San Francisco Giants37c29.05$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.751,01350.3%510 W · 503 L+51.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+21.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe246…dedcbacked San Francisco Giants43c25.93$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1526753.9%144 W · 123 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x48b9…abe2backed San Francisco Giants40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1034843.4%151 W · 197 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Colorado Rockies59c23.8$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7752852.1%275 W · 253 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8766…4171backed Colorado Rockies60c22.83$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2114351.7%74 W · 69 L+0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Colorado Rockies64c22.62$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1887370.1%612 W · 261 L+91.6wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+14.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x33d2…9ac2backed Colorado Rockies65c21.99$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.75440.7%22 W · 32 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed Colorado Rockies68c16.74$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.3663954.5%348 W · 291 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97a8…078dbacked Colorado Rockies67c16.54$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.468764.4%56 W · 31 L+7.8wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Colorado Rockies71c16.37$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.854152.1%282 W · 259 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.