Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC Malisheva win on 2026-07-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcdbe40419b59ae4a1de225daf81039da87db78bec3a16fca525678173569b868
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,446
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,227
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,446 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 45c | 15,000$6,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,726.33 | 212 | 37.3%79 W · 133 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 56c | 7,841$4,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,430.48 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 58c | 7,749$4,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,255.13 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 46c | 3,148$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.9 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 55c | 2,758$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.53 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0570…465ebacked No | 40c | 2,230$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked No | 7c | 1,400$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 146 | 30.1%44 W · 102 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 45c | 1,254$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.28 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 52c | 1,143$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.84 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 43c | 1,111$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.75 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed No | 47c | 712.11$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.69 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 55c | 661.95$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Yes | 55c | 634.46$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.51 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 42c | 611.63$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.18 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 55c | 560.89$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.78 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +8.7wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Yes | 53c | 534.21$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.08 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x624e…168dbacked Yes | 55c | 423.85$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 42c | 373.13$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.91 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Yes | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f4…dd7cbacked Yes | 55c | 349$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.05 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.9wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 7c | 345.77$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 55c | 333$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.85 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42fc…a43cbacked Yes | 54c | 291.11$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.91 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5d…7501backed No | 42c | 262.86$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed No | 46c | 217.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…df76backed Yes | 61c | 208.36$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.36 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -4.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe0dd…18debacked Yes | 55c | 207.27$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 77c | 192.5$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 47c | 190.35$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.93 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 8c | 179.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 73c | 174$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.64 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 58c | 172.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.29 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +8.4wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 61c | 170.55$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.83 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f79…d807backed Yes | 53c | 154.44$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.38 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Yes | 55c | 152.73$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.73 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed No | 51c | 145$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.95 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…5513backed Yes | 55c | 126.44$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.9 | 280 | 12.9%36 W · 244 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 19c | 124.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Yes | 55c | 120$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…99a1backed No | 47c | 106.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8720…ea73backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +38%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc95d…d369backed No | 14c | 85.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3e…0b87backed Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Yes | 53c | 81.68$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.05 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked No | 47c | 73$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.31 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed No | 47c | 67.84$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.55 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8920…9c0cbacked Yes | 57c | 64.97$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab56…e635backed No | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 23c | 62.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked No | 41c | 61.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 156 | 28.2%44 W · 112 L | -15.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7403…b24abacked Yes | 69c | 56.58$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56b5…ed56backed Yes | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed Yes | 53c | 52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.69 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 52c | 50.94$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.34 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x819a…4b03backed Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Yes | 54c | 48.04$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 138 | 39.1%54 W · 84 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 71c | 47.95$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 377 | 50.9%192 W · 185 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed No | 46c | 47.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…b8bfbacked Yes | 53c | 47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked No | 46c | 41.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Yes | 54c | 41.07$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.89 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e31…d5fdbacked Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 73cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b6…614fbacked Yes | 55c | 32.35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce0…9d0bbacked Yes | 55c | 31.82$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.32 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 34c | 31.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +82.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d71…ca3ebacked Yes | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 54cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x427a…4e18backed Yes | 47c | 29.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +173%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 54c | 29.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed No | 48c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4548…e4b5backed No | 46c | 27.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabfe…dba6backed Yes | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe326…f075backed No | 47c | 26.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 44cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2149…51bfbacked Yes | 55c | 26.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf24f…15b2backed Yes | 57c | 26.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -7.7wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 53c | 24.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed Yes | 69c | 22.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00c5…b5e9backed Yes | 54c | 20.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.44 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Yes | 66c | 15.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Malisheva win on 2026-07-15?this page
- Will FC Malisheva vs. KF Vllaznia Shkodër end in a draw?No won
- Will KF Vllaznia Shkodër win on 2026-07-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.