Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will KF Vllaznia Shkodër win on 2026-07-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91ff6df510d7db865aba8bd2422da6906deb344dc628ac53279088c66f52cd6a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,883
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,070
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,883 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 5c | 3,158$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.89 | 112 | 26.8%30 W · 82 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 77c | 2,428$1,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.83 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 22c | 2,400$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Yes | 24c | 1,532$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.8 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 77c | 1,091$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.85 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 2c | 1,059$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 76c | 904.28$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.39 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 146 | 30.1%44 W · 102 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 23c | 376.98$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.71 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 22c | 350.59$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.13 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 78c | 342.47$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.34 | 218 | 40.4%88 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8f…14d1backed Yes | 22c | 259.09$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 19c | 254.36$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 200 | 50%100 W · 100 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fc…ed09backed Yes | 62c | 128.1$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked No | 79c | 118.35$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed No | 79c | 118.35$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…22d8backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Yes | 22c | 95.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 18c | 88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Yes | 23c | 86.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 138 | 39.1%54 W · 84 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe6…4a1bbacked No | 36c | 65.93$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.52 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +10.1wins | +0.26per pick | 31cpaid | +330.1%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x56b5…ed56backed No | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked No | 79c | 63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 78c | 58.55$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 23c | 52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Yes | 22c | 49.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed No | 78c | 40.63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x083e…81a1backed No | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 16 | 93.8%15 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 77cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 44 | 79.5%35 W · 9 L | +8.0wins | +0.18per pick | 61cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 76c | 16.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 108 | 63.9%69 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will KF Vllaznia Shkodër win on 2026-07-15?this page
- Will FC Malisheva vs. KF Vllaznia Shkodër end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Malisheva win on 2026-07-15?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.