MLB · resolved market
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Kia Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6911bb123d3711601e707cf3e86bf1b6bd6baa730ea51e9132fbf049df58f63
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Doosan Bearsof Doosan Bears, Kia Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,854
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,172
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,854 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Kia Tigers | 14c | 3,038$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.65 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Kia Tigers | 41c | 587.52$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 265 | 45.7%121 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Doosan Bears | 59c | 541.98$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.6 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ef…ff5ebacked Doosan Bears | 58c | 429.85$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.85 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9960…a699backed Doosan Bears | 65c | 345$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.24 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Kia Tigers | 44c | 342.8$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.83 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Kia Tigers | 41c | 268.29$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Doosan Bears | 57c | 262$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.64 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Doosan Bears | 60c | 169.85$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.72 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Kia Tigers | 42c | 146.84$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.67 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Kia Tigers | 44c | 133.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.6 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…caa6backed Kia Tigers | 14c | 128.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Doosan Bears | 71c | 110$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.1 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Doosan Bears | 55c | 84.56$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.05 | 264 | 44.3%117 W · 147 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Doosan Bears | 58c | 82.69$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.47 | 788 | 54.6%430 W · 358 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Kia Tigers | 42c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Kia Tigers | 22c | 73.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Doosan Bears | 68c | 71.86$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.21 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…b3c3backed Doosan Bears | 62c | 69.69$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.48 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Kia Tigers | 42c | 60.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Kia Tigers | 40c | 58.94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x304a…05ecbacked Kia Tigers | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 94 | 25.5%24 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Doosan Bears | 60c | 47.4$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kia Tigers | 40c | 46.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Doosan Bears | 56c | 42.91$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Doosan Bears | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Doosan Bears | 72c | 26.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Doosan Bears | 62c | 22.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e7…4a56backed Kia Tigers | 52c | 21.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ce…feb1backed Doosan Bears | 60c | 20.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -8.4wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xefad…9c1bbacked Doosan Bears | 61c | 19.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Doosan Bears | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 639 | 54.5%348 W · 291 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.