NHL · resolved market
Canucks vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ea7585f57e2e96efd78c4adf70e92d581c48ec31642d24c4564a57e659bd06c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,571
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,508
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,571 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 45c | 5,252$2,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,361.57 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Over | 55c | 4,152$2,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,868.5 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 44c | 2,218$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.41 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 46c | 1,450$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.8 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 47c | 1,057$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.68 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcd…3b61backed Over | 58c | 866.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +38%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Over | 57c | 799.99$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 61c | 530.39$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.3 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 43c | 476.93$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.62 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 43c | 311.47$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.9 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Under | 43c | 270$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.1 | 125 | 36%45 W · 80 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Over | 57c | 250$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 200 | 47.5%95 W · 105 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 55c | 247$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.45 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 44c | 244.66$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.65 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 56c | 230.86$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.86 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 44c | 229$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.76 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3080…f041backed Over | 54c | 215.07$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.26 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…2767backed Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 41c | 190.87$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.26 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over | 55c | 182.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.73 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +4.1wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 56c | 180$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2886…9bb2backed Under | 43c | 160$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.8 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 55c | 138$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.1 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 43c | 125.43$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.85 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 56c | 120$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 55c | 103$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.93 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 261 | 36%94 W · 167 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff75…b615backed Under | 32c | 77.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 43c | 74.09$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.86 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 48c | 55.41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.75 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Over | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Under | 50c | 53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.57 | 153 | 54.9%84 W · 69 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 58c | 50.01$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Under | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 349 | 49.9%174 W · 175 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1f…48a4backed Over | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf9…7560backed Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 43c | 45.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde5d…e2d7backed Over | 56c | 44.18$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…2269backed Under | 43c | 34.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +6.7wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4cac…1695backed Under | 60c | 34.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 43c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 332 | 51.5%171 W · 161 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 67c | 27.27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9666…2af8backed Over | 62c | 25.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…4dd4backed Under | 41c | 24.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -38%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x74fe…8243backed Over | 54c | 22.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 57c | 18.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 333 | 63.7%212 W · 121 L | +44.3wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd77e…6adcbacked Over | 68c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canucks vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5this page
- Canucks vs. KrakenKraken won
- Canucks vs. Kraken: O/U 4.5Over won
- Canucks vs. Kraken: O/U 6.5Under won
- Canucks vs. Kraken: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Kraken (-1.5)Kraken won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.