NHL · resolved market
Spread: Kraken (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce3575213ccb4bf2599180a0fcc87ddda76e354d4df07a83a0394c1630598fde
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Krakenof Kraken, Canucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,829
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,973
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,829 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x67f4…87bdbacked Kraken | 39c | 3,852$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,351.81 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Canucks | 61c | 3,558$2,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,157.42 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Canucks | 61c | 2,768$1,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,688.41 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Kraken | 39c | 2,038$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.46 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Kraken | 39c | 683.23$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.8 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Canucks | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Canucks | 62c | 418.2$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.33 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Kraken | 39c | 318.67$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.09 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Kraken | 45c | 305.5$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.69 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Kraken | 66c | 296.97$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.01 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb11d…3706backed Canucks | 63c | 271.69$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.16 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Kraken | 38c | 162.6$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.81 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Canucks | 43c | 154$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.96 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf392…bb0dbacked Kraken | 37c | 139.77$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x851e…d153backed Kraken | 37c | 131.44$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.81 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe31…6573backed Kraken | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 210 | 42.4%89 W · 121 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Canucks | 63c | 89$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.07 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Kraken | 37c | 89$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.07 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Canucks | 61c | 73.76$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Canucks | 60c | 68.1$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.77 | 416 | 50.7%211 W · 205 L | +15.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Canucks | 62c | 34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Canucks | 62c | 31.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Canucks | 63c | 28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 317 | 53.3%169 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Canucks | 61c | 21.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 381 | 47.2%180 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Canucks | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kraken | 61c | 18.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6417…e608backed Canucks | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Kraken (-1.5)this page
- Canucks vs. KrakenKraken won
- Canucks vs. Kraken: O/U 4.5Over won
- Canucks vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5Over won
- Canucks vs. Kraken: O/U 6.5Under won
- Canucks vs. Kraken: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.