NHL · resolved market
Jets vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b4da502ffe4d000987bdae99a72f3d0023592c00a82df88cb4f810ac45dfd4f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,459
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,671
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,459 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Under | 54c | 41,491$22,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,009.76 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Over | 46c | 12,828$5,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,900.88 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Over | 46c | 8,099$3,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,725.54 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Over | 45c | 6,600$2,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,989.8 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 46c | 5,913$2,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,719.98 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4c2cbacked Over | 46c | 4,348$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -34%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 45c | 2,324$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.45 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 45c | 1,275$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.36 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 44c | 750.3$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.01 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 46c | 435$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.1 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Under | 52c | 396.31$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.43 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 68c | 301.12$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.09 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…035cbacked Over | 31c | 296.77$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 55c | 271.41$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.66 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Under | 53c | 240.94$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc046…f138backed Under | 58c | 223.91$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.91 | 103 | 55.3%57 W · 46 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Over | 47c | 219.62$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Over | 48c | 209.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2b…c97cbacked Under | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 76 | 71.1%54 W · 22 L | +10.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Over | 27c | 188$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.76 | 83 | 68.7%57 W · 26 L | +12.3wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xde5d…e2d7backed Under | 55c | 150.44$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.7 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52fc…6c84backed Under | 58c | 113.79$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.79 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 54c | 110$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.63 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Over | 48c | 104.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Under | 60c | 91.81$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.82 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 48c | 89.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.07 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6912…2aabbacked Under | 54c | 77.11$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.11 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +10.0wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Under | 56c | 71.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.56 | 158 | 39.9%63 W · 95 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 44c | 65.31$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93e3…e590backed Under | 50c | 52.12$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.06 | 112 | 33.9%38 W · 74 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 40c | 42.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 53c | 41.58$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd6…16abbacked Under | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 308 | 59.4%183 W · 125 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e54…5fdfbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Under | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 321 | 45.5%146 W · 175 L | -18.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 42c | 37.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 45c | 35.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7171…81f7backed Under | 55c | 35.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 276 | 52.2%144 W · 132 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 46c | 32.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 349 | 49.9%174 W · 175 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 44c | 25.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…aa37backed Under | 50c | 25.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 123 | 35.8%44 W · 79 L | -14.9wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 50c | 23.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Under | 54c | 22.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 46c | 21.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jets vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5this page
- Jets vs. SharksSharks won
- Jets vs. Sharks: O/U 4.5Under won
- Jets vs. Sharks: O/U 5.5Under won
- Jets vs. Sharks: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Jets (-1.5)Sharks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.