Australian A League · resolved market
Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2ac29670767f6cf51e79220133753c9978bc085df41a11df374eb0eed848276
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,535
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,065
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,535 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 11,586$6,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,339.88 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 44c | 6,999$3,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,919.48 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +12.6wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Under | 56c | 4,513$2,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,527.28 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Under | 55c | 4,512$2,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,460.12 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Over | 45c | 3,716$1,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,043.97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +51%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 45c | 3,500$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,924.75 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5d…76b0backed Over | 51c | 1,965$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Over | 33c | 1,610$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.7 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2969…6d76backed Under | 18c | 1,125$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -65%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x040b…f8a0backed Over | 48c | 937.33$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.18 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb470…ba61backed Under | 64c | 773.44$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e7…b1a4backed Over | 49c | 741.44$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 44c | 540.99$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.64 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1e…5d9bbacked Over | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +129.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a84…0e54backed Over | 57c | 494.16$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.98 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 52c | 386.89$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.55 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Over | 43c | 385$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.45 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 41c | 260$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.5 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 46c | 213.04$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.04 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 47c | 210.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.67 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 53c | 204.6$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.88 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…da1fbacked Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Under | 57c | 174.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1974…bc18backed Over | 53c | 144.93$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.81 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 54c | 142.65$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.81 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +10.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…a2d6backed Over | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40a1…d943backed Under | 56c | 121.07$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.35 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 55c | 120$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 83 | 26.5%22 W · 61 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Under | 56c | 98.02$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.87 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed91…8ce8backed Over | 53c | 91.91$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.57 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe06b…147fbacked Over | 52c | 81.69$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 35c | 79.26$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.57 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b2…7956backed Over | 46c | 65.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 44c | 57.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.46 | 63 | 73%46 W · 17 L | +19.0wins | +0.30per pick | 43cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 74+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 49c | 57.39$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x120d…67debacked Over | 46c | 55.89$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993d…4f46backed Under | 56c | 54.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50be…9111backed Under | 56c | 53.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad6b…1fdebacked Over | 45c | 53.05$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 26cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Under | 44c | 50.19$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…c46ebacked Over | 56c | 47.09$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x99c0…d2dabacked Under | 56c | 46.93$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 43c | 46.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.32 | 349 | 37.8%132 W · 217 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…466fbacked Over | 48c | 45.49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…630fbacked Under | 56c | 44.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 51c | 44.68$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 45c | 44.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.56 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ac…c62ebacked Under | 56c | 42.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafdd…ae76backed Under | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…f9bcbacked Over | 46c | 41.52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8616…cfbebacked Under | 56c | 41.43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e86…2b17backed Under | 56c | 40.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…d0f5backed Over | 46c | 39.61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Over | 47c | 36.89$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 54c | 35.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Over | 47c | 34.45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.22 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…04d0backed Under | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f8…22c7backed Over | 48c | 33.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f06…821ebacked Over | 46c | 32.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf525…31e9backed Over | 46c | 32.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +118.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a65…4ef2backed Over | 46c | 31.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab8…b5a6backed Under | 76c | 31.19$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8d…55c5backed Over | 46c | 31.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +118.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 42c | 26.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf6…c75bbacked Over | 49c | 24.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 51c | 23.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb815…342fbacked Under | 51c | 22.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 60cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x452b…1dd9backed Under | 56c | 19.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.