NHL · resolved market
Spread: Bruins (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x423a76d4cee877d0906e5ddbf0baf9bf988b55966a544e4cacd2cd48b1258508
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Canadiensof Bruins, Canadiens
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,322
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,784
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,322 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Canadiens | 70c | 6,995$4,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,098.6 | 210 | 36.2%76 W · 134 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Bruins | 30c | 5,970$1,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,791.11 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Bruins | 33c | 3,670$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.43 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Canadiens | 67c | 3,226$2,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.1 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Canadiens | 74c | 3,225$2,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.14 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bruins | 26c | 2,130$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.7 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…1185backed Bruins | 32c | 1,080$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae60…1f06backed Bruins | 30c | 966.67$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Bruins | 29c | 861.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.98 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2745…a5fbbacked Canadiens | 71c | 773.87$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.42 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bruins | 29c | 727$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.82 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Bruins | 26c | 615.84$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.12 | 218 | 56.4%123 W · 95 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Canadiens | 74c | 576$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.76 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec4…ea86backed Canadiens | 68c | 490$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Bruins | 7c | 433.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.32 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Bruins | 26c | 365.66$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.65 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbec…9400backed Canadiens | 68c | 290$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f3…b4c7backed Canadiens | 68c | 289.51$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Bruins | 32c | 250$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 541 | 32.7%177 W · 364 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bruins | 28c | 231$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.68 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Bruins | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb2…5a2dbacked Bruins | 26c | 124.28$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.31 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Bruins | 26c | 123.26$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.05 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Bruins | 23c | 109.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…5a08backed Bruins | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf67…fc18backed Bruins | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Canadiens | 67c | 97.69$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.24 | 139 | 41.7%58 W · 81 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Bruins | 30c | 87.86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.36 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Canadiens | 69c | 86.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Canadiens | 70c | 85.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 336 | 60.7%204 W · 132 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab8…b5a6backed Canadiens | 71c | 85.33$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7055…9717backed Canadiens | 69c | 75.07$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.27 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -4.7wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Bruins | 31c | 65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 780 | 38.5%300 W · 480 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4c…77bdbacked Bruins | 32c | 54.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Canadiens | 68c | 54.78$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.53 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked Bruins | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 366 | 48.9%179 W · 187 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x240a…9e0bbacked Bruins | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Bruins | 29c | 34.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Canadiens | 68c | 29.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Canadiens | 68c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Canadiens | 67c | 16.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 162 | 54.9%89 W · 73 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Bruins (-1.5)this page
- Canadiens vs. BruinsBruins won
- Canadiens vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.