NHL · resolved market
Canadiens vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5016cf101ba3eb6e6e2736ae9c85ab730ec9bb4e412fa9009dffae43edd41604
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,254
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,045
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,254 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Over | 50c | 42,440$21,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,195.47 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 49c | 19,553$9,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,581 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Under | 51c | 19,009$9,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,604.74 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Under | 51c | 11,005$5,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,602.6 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 49c | 4,862$2,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,479.83 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 50c | 2,222$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 50c | 2,152$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.62 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Over | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 49c | 1,860$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.6 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 50c | 1,005$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.41 | 308 | 55.5%171 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 51c | 947$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.97 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 51c | 666$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.78 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Under | 54c | 628.12$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.18 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 59c | 622$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.1 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Over | 49c | 613$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.63 | 470 | 51.5%242 W · 228 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 50c | 600$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c7…3fa6backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Over | 49c | 450$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.5 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 52c | 443.26$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.63 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 46c | 440.12$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.66 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 50c | 420$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Under | 51c | 391$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.41 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Under | 48c | 372$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.55 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea93…d9bdbacked Under | 51c | 367.13$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.23 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c0…77babacked Under | 52c | 341.54$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Under | 36c | 307$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.52 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Over | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 154 | 31.8%49 W · 105 L | -12.4wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 218 | 56.4%123 W · 95 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…6900backed Over | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f1…b386backed Under | 51c | 203.92$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 49c | 200.01$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 137 | 47.4%65 W · 72 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 265 | 47.5%126 W · 139 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f72…0841backed Over | 50c | 178$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 177.61$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.03 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Under | 42c | 163$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.81 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30b0…3ac2backed Under | 51c | 152.94$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 52c | 107.45$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.68 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 51c | 97.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.86 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc260…68dfbacked Under | 50c | 88$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x719d…8b6cbacked Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a42…34d8backed Under | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 55c | 75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.98 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…fb77backed Under | 57c | 73.08$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -8.6wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 44c | 68.63$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.13 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef6d…b0cdbacked Under | 51c | 59.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 38c | 58.91$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.29 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Under | 49c | 51.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 162 | 54.9%89 W · 73 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9280…99b4backed Under | 49c | 43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.18 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 47c | 43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2eb…477cbacked Under | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 39cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba0…a6afbacked Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…61ecbacked Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x568f…3e15backed Under | 55c | 32.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x743a…ddcdbacked Over | 47c | 31.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 49c | 30.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 262 | 43.5%114 W · 148 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Over | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 550 | 48.2%265 W · 285 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 50c | 27.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7055…9717backed Under | 49c | 24.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -4.7wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x662d…2a1ebacked Over | 50c | 20.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03af…4c28backed Over | 50c | 20.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0869…1f5ebacked Over | 50c | 20.06$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3321…c387backed Over | 50c | 20.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1297…75adbacked Over | 50c | 20.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ff…a37fbacked Over | 50c | 20.02$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Under | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 421 | 44.4%187 W · 234 L | -28.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0de…84b1backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x76c4…e723backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4f…0020backed Over | 51c | 19.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ccd…3a0cbacked Over | 51c | 19.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c6…fb72backed Over | 51c | 19.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +4.5wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canadiens vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5this page
- Canadiens vs. BruinsBruins won
- Spread: Bruins (-1.5)Canadiens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.