TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Saint Louis Billikens vs. Duquesne Dukes: O/U 164.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,051,617
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,056,385

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,051,617 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Under49c603,471$295,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307,890.0735945.1%162 W · 197 L-24.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over51c600,000$306,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305,999.999860.2%59 W · 39 L+9.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Under49c300,489$147,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153,304.0489645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Over51c200,000$102,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102,00069142.8%296 W · 395 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Under49c80,000$39,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,8004047.5%19 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Over51c77,532$39,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,541.5521754.8%119 W · 98 L+15.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under49c50,000$24,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,5004454.5%24 W · 20 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Over51c49,533$25,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,2629050%45 W · 45 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Over51c40,000$20,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,40013649.3%67 W · 69 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over51c17,500$8,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,92590645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over51c12,000$6,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,1408946.1%41 W · 48 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Over51c11,111$5,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,666.6113154.2%71 W · 60 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over52c6,646$3,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,432.2112,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Over51c5,999$3,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,059.495143.1%22 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Over53c5,000$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6505843.1%25 W · 33 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Over51c3,000$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,53017050.6%86 W · 84 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over52c2,263$1,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,176.761,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Over52c1,961$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.588747.1%41 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Over51c1,400$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71416954.4%92 W · 77 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Under49c1,222$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.3927955.2%154 W · 125 L+22.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+22.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2745…a5fbbacked Under48c1,145$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.241764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over51c1,049$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.834,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Over26c982.21$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.9638343.6%167 W · 216 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6a6…a6d3backed Under61c938.86$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.862871.4%20 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over52c807.69$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42055749.2%274 W · 283 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Over25c572.64$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.42,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d0f…f3e6backed Over51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20411946.2%55 W · 64 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over18c258.63$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.62,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d48…48e0backed Over51c230.05$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.9618046.7%84 W · 96 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ab8…b5a6backed Under48c206.25$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.252259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Over52c202.68$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.3912358.5%72 W · 51 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc330…1667backed Over42c202.68$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.131020%2 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-57.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x664b…00b3backed Over59c196.08$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.6911159.5%66 W · 45 L+10.7wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023754.9%130 W · 107 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Under41c180$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.234649.1%170 W · 176 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Over51c176.47$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9049849.6%247 W · 251 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3951…c5b2backed Over53c147.49$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.173240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9be1…16a6backed Under74c132.8$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.53450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-31.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7cf…058dbacked Over52c120$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.41520%3 W · 12 L-4.6wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-58.5%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Over44c102.68$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.1819050.5%96 W · 94 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+19.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbc82…6421backed Over19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1911147.7%53 W · 58 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6e7…caa8backed Over10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101478.8%13 W · 134 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa26…564fbacked Under49c81.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6321252.4%111 W · 101 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2a7…b3f8backed Under67c74.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.52366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x951c…797abacked Under67c74.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.526100%6 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f2a…59abbacked Under67c74.27$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.51580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd0b…00d8backed Under67c74.27$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.51785.7%6 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick77cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Over54c73.22$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5419657.1%112 W · 84 L+14.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1b46…944cbacked Over54c73.22$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5418656.5%105 W · 81 L+12.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c37…947cbacked Under68c73.2$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.425100%5 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x83ab…46b9backed Under68c73.2$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.42887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick69cpaid+25.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd18e…8ec3backed Under69c72.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.379100%9 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3011…bf2ebacked Under69c72.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.37771.4%5 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick73cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x809a…587dbacked Under70c71.12$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.34475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x376a…4384backed Under70c71.12$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.341283.3%10 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick72cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc931…6873backed Under70c71.12$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.34580%4 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick74cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b8d…fdeebacked Under70c71.12$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.342100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0243…f72cbacked Under70c71.12$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.34966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe884…b25ebacked Under70c71.12$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.34785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick71cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xca5c…54ffbacked Under68c71.12$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.76683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick72cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7d5cbacked Under71c70.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.343100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18f7…8166backed Under71c70.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.334100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc4d…e0d0backed Under72c69.16$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.36771.4%5 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick72cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e92…50bfbacked Under72c69.16$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.36475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffc…51f4backed Under72c69.16$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.36475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over28c69.07$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.163,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65b6…2108backed Over51c68.63$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355650%28 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9874…6a8bbacked Under73c68.2$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.41580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1992…be7abacked Under74c67.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-32.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b76…0ad6backed Under74c67.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick72cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f49…7592backed Under75c66.4$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc320…1266backed Under74c63.86$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.646100%6 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdaa5…a759backed Under71c63.05$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.281070%7 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick70cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa966…208bbacked Over54c60$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.415156.3%85 W · 66 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb1cb…fb77backed Over26c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4810252%53 W · 49 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed85…bfacbacked Over53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307846.2%36 W · 42 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5a8…8a9dbacked Over54c55.4$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.927251.4%37 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5613…d53bbacked Under73c53.59$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.471275%9 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27b4…a2dcbacked Under77c52.47$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.075100%5 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+37%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x740b…1d47backed Over29c51.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154045%18 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc54f…dce8backed Under49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.564322.9%147 W · 496 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over45c48.26$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.661,29645.1%584 W · 712 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65b3…7fc9backed Over51c47.33$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1412341.5%51 W · 72 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ba5…26febacked Over53c46.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.545950.8%30 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x187b…f545backed Over53c46$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3810049%49 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79df…277ebacked Over55c45.09$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256154.1%33 W · 28 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5ea…52dbbacked Over65c45.05$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.283053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9aea…5590backed Over51c44.4$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6415844.3%70 W · 88 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x08b6…7db6backed Over53c44.13$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3912245.9%56 W · 66 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc59f…9589backed Over30c42.57$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.88520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-48%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd164…f17bbacked Under49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.823740.5%15 W · 22 L-6.0wins-0.16per pick57cpaid-31%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf861…1d14backed Over53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206755.2%37 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Over48c37.32$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0818646.2%86 W · 100 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under44c36.51$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.633,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7dfd…8476backed Over47c36.08$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.832050%10 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5995…3385backed Over53c35.87$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.015151%26 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e06…2382backed Over57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4921…2f23backed Under49c32.45$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.55475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+42.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f30…a479backed Over42c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.51118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.4wins-0.31per pick49cpaid-65.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd730…1948backed Over53c29.58$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6819653.1%104 W · 92 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.