South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Tigre win on 2026-01-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca44210eb3d650d77728de1c160b1211de7802ff875af4fe2bf1beb903d31d0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,595
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,183
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,595 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 51c | 3,797$1,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,939.22 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60be…9e6dbacked Yes | 50c | 2,146$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.78 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +74%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 48c | 1,361$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.83 | 138 | 21%29 W · 109 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2745…a5fbbacked No | 52c | 1,057$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.45 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Yes | 50c | 390$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1253…7e78backed Yes | 50c | 372.96$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.48 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3326…2d1ebacked Yes | 50c | 238$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab8…b5a6backed No | 52c | 190.38$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 65cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04cf…4175backed Yes | 48c | 187.5$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 157.68$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.86 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb64…e25fbacked Yes | 38c | 144.74$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.74 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -45%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40ef…10ebbacked Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 58c | 119.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.49 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75c…86d0backed Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a17…5d26backed No | 52c | 95.19$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 51c | 70.71$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.12 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Yes | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd1…2647backed Yes | 50c | 40.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa375…0374backed Yes | 48c | 37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf3…80abbacked Yes | 45c | 26.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccd…1ec9backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Tigre win on 2026-01-25?this page
- Will AA Estudiantes win on 2026-01-25?No won
- Will CA Tigre vs. AA Estudiantes end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.