TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Crashers vs TEAM ORUGA (BO3) - CCT South America Series #7 Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
TEAM ORUGAof Crashers, TEAM ORUGA
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$54,686
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,382

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,686 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Crashers29c3,669$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,071.223,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Crashers38c2,146$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.652,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked TEAM ORUGA73c1,982$1,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.523,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77f2…55aebacked TEAM ORUGA58c1,721$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.971942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-24.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa59e…2b99backed TEAM ORUGA71c1,690$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.08728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-51.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7040…e859backed Crashers18c1,627$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ec2…59e6backed Crashers31c1,605$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0627…f5c5backed Crashers24c1,166$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.691526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed TEAM ORUGA54c858.35$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.7985851.6%443 W · 415 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd50c…76c3backed TEAM ORUGA57c849.57$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.311361.1%69 W · 44 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Crashers26c782.7$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002450%12 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a89…196fbacked TEAM ORUGA69c650.56$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.776352.4%33 W · 30 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Crashers20c616.48$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.9420238.6%78 W · 124 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x284e…ddb2backed TEAM ORUGA66c616.04$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.414443.2%19 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf1…99d3backed TEAM ORUGA74c509.2$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.081656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4aae…d563backed TEAM ORUGA74c499.99$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1308267.1%55 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed TEAM ORUGA60c447.74$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.041,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2745…a5fbbacked Crashers42c382.41$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.6140%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1c1d…58fcbacked Crashers29c254.57$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x873d…97b5backed Crashers20c250.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506621.2%14 W · 52 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-40.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3eca…9291backed Crashers19c236.86$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452722.2%6 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ab8…b5a6backed Crashers42c235.71$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+26.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab43…e73ebacked TEAM ORUGA67c234.8$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.03520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-70%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf4f…bdc8backed Crashers34c224.21$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.581233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9380…a275backed TEAM ORUGA73c210$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.71546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-31.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Crashers9c200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181,18122.5%266 W · 915 L+3.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c49…ca9dbacked TEAM ORUGA57c199.94$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.984535.6%16 W · 29 L-6.0wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-36.9%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x3ac1…7258backed Crashers35c182.42$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63128.3%1 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick29cpaid-76.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9160…de3dbacked TEAM ORUGA66c167.49$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.4918040.6%73 W · 107 L-11.1wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9777…6b53backed Crashers40c166.87$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.6119732.5%64 W · 133 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cee…1ac0backed TEAM ORUGA73c146.76$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.626750.7%34 W · 33 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-21.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9388…8b79backed Crashers30c140.31$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.026563.1%41 W · 24 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid-2.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Crashers28c125.58$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.571931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-26.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f8c…2157backed Crashers30c120.2$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.75450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dfd…8476backed Crashers46c119.84$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.861827.8%5 W · 13 L-4.6wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-61.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc0bc…b904backed Crashers22c113.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43c8…0551backed Crashers23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237627.6%21 W · 55 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xac0c…739cbacked Crashers30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3066034.1%225 W · 435 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74f4…c4f3backed Crashers14c99.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-31.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xec48…d04cbacked Crashers26c86.56$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8711051.8%57 W · 53 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46d4…5bc3backed TEAM ORUGA77c77.05$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.72366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf71a…fa40backed Crashers31c75.1$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.594429.5%13 W · 31 L-5.3wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-44.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9d74…bb57backed TEAM ORUGA72c74.62$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.551361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Crashers32c74.42$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0719843.9%87 W · 111 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-24%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Crashers34c73.53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252429.2%7 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a03…02a6backed Crashers21c69.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-54.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked TEAM ORUGA74c66.22$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2238636%139 W · 247 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x762d…45a6backed TEAM ORUGA65c65$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7512752%66 W · 61 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde9a…0793backed Crashers31c63.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcae0…fe76backed Crashers30c62.06$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27ce…9a42backed Crashers27c60.32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-42.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked Crashers35c57.29$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2078963.8%503 W · 286 L-2.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ffa…f2cfbacked TEAM ORUGA75c55.4$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.126129.5%18 W · 43 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-42.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3f3…9b44backed TEAM ORUGA59c50.83$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.847425.7%19 W · 55 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-28%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x214a…7451backed Crashers31c48.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-56.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x61a3…b1e5backed Crashers42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201822.2%4 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick25cpaid+8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3199…0a40backed Crashers43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6271…4ac6backed TEAM ORUGA73c45.89$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.367255.6%40 W · 32 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4921…2f23backed Crashers44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedaa…89b4backed Crashers29c43.23$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5124535.9%88 W · 157 L-11.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cb8…846ebacked TEAM ORUGA62c42.36$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4412…35b8backed TEAM ORUGA68c41.68$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.341172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+23.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Crashers49c40.6$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,71052.3%895 W · 815 L-73.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Crashers47c40.15$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8729350.2%147 W · 146 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6827…26fdbacked TEAM ORUGA60c39.99$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1611246.4%52 W · 60 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed TEAM ORUGA64c39.99$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.3219442.8%83 W · 111 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked TEAM ORUGA71c38.67$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.157,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa330…19cdbacked Crashers30c37.89$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dc2…3907backed TEAM ORUGA54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed TEAM ORUGA60c35.78$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.3118657%106 W · 80 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x85c0…d9cfbacked Crashers43c34.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153860.5%23 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c94…1b47backed TEAM ORUGA74c33.81$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.818160.5%49 W · 32 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed TEAM ORUGA61c32.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6320744.4%92 W · 115 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb856…a9bcbacked Crashers40c32.5$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131040%4 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-39.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2838…32bbbacked TEAM ORUGA78c32.12$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d6c…2854backed Crashers32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104141.5%17 W · 24 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-22.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd9c9…f6e0backed Crashers51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.33429.4%10 W · 24 L-4.3wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-37.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x842a…a742backed Crashers35c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.516950.9%86 W · 83 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x11f8…0c9ebacked TEAM ORUGA74c27.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd39…1438backed TEAM ORUGA61c23.98$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee53…7d97backed TEAM ORUGA67c22.39$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.39862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick71cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10a3…ae13backed TEAM ORUGA75c22.07$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.523100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+51.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8104…3128backed TEAM ORUGA74c21.96$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.619151.6%47 W · 44 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked TEAM ORUGA51c21.29$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.362254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed TEAM ORUGA76c21.18$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.120243.6%88 W · 114 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed TEAM ORUGA71c21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.196328.6%18 W · 45 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-37.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked TEAM ORUGA66c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.854348.6%264 W · 279 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3a1…64a3backed TEAM ORUGA65c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73652.8%19 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb48…6ad1backed TEAM ORUGA77c19.48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed TEAM ORUGA64c18.2$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6233949%166 W · 173 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed TEAM ORUGA65c18$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.362350.9%317 W · 306 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e21…4dccbacked TEAM ORUGA67c16.47$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.516459.4%38 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd332…ed30backed TEAM ORUGA76c15.79$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.79250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.