Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Sonego vs Carlos Taberner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x008742ebcda5c8b63a0fbed243d2b42eb849bd7c6e33bf0c965c00e9ab68f233
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sonegoof Sonego, Taberner
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,708
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,139
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,708 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Taberner | 8c | 2,390$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.18 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Taberner | 2c | 1,271$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.46 | 444 | 23.9%106 W · 338 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Taberner | 3c | 854.8$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.53 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Taberner | 8c | 627.19$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.76 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Taberner | 10c | 566.43$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.29 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Taberner | 5c | 535.73$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Taberner | 11c | 467.62$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.44 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a17…5d26backed Taberner | 12c | 412.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab8…b5a6backed Taberner | 12c | 412.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -45%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed Taberner | 11c | 363.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 374 | 44.1%165 W · 209 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6456…60e2backed Taberner | 6c | 300$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -80%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Taberner | 9c | 287$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 265 | 35.5%94 W · 171 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Taberner | 12c | 270.83$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 204 | 31.9%65 W · 139 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…6dffbacked Taberner | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Taberner | 6c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 108 | 9.3%10 W · 98 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Taberner | 10c | 191.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b8…6f30backed Taberner | 8c | 155.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 17cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Taberner | 9c | 150$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e66…01cbbacked Taberner | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Taberner | 11c | 125.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cd…432cbacked Taberner | 12c | 113.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc7…55f6backed Taberner | 12c | 109.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Taberner | 12c | 101$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Taberner | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe09e…5047backed Taberner | 12c | 94.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Sonego vs Carlos Tabernerthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Sonego vs TabernerSonego won
- Set Handicap: Sonego (-2.5) vs Taberner (+2.5)Sonego won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.