South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Tigre win on 2026-01-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x398795b30134a4d52489b918fa57e29c777e266313f7e90f5afc70b9a3f0c7f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,783
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,579
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,783 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 66c | 2,649$1,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,744.34 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 36c | 1,663$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.86 | 181 | 29.8%54 W · 127 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 79c | 1,483$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.83 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 34c | 1,445$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.72 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 20c | 945.62$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.85 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 64c | 850$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 20c | 849.91$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.44 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 9c | 808.67$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.78 | 118 | 19.5%23 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 79c | 779.61$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.72 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 14c | 700$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 367 | 27%99 W · 268 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 42c | 616.92$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.9 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed No | 79c | 414.19$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.98 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed No | 79c | 395.24$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 21c | 373.13$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.86 | 250 | 21.6%54 W · 196 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 15c | 347.25$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.61 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Yes | 8c | 320$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 86 | 24.4%21 W · 65 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc18f…bb01backed Yes | 21c | 285.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 49c | 272.63$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.88 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…0a6abacked No | 79c | 212.73$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 69 | 26.1%18 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes | 8c | 190.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd40b…429abacked Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 17c | 125.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.47 | 95 | 22.1%21 W · 74 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 29c | 108.4$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.29 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd1…2647backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x858d…9d9fbacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 103 | 26.2%27 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3e…ef94backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 73c | 86.03$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.52 | 124 | 64.5%80 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48dd…271dbacked Yes | 17c | 74.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f9…9aefbacked Yes | 21c | 70.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 75c | 68.65$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.01 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 80c | 65$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4557…bf49backed Yes | 21c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b79…93ccbacked Yes | 22c | 58.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 53c | 52.7$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd35…ecebbacked Yes | 24c | 46.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 66c | 42.87$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.21 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 30c | 37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.09 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed No | 68c | 31.31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…466fbacked No | 47c | 30.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…9636backed No | 79c | 25.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 62c | 21.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b2…fba9backed No | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed No | 80c | 18.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b15…4f59backed No | 80c | 18.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6350…ae47backed No | 80c | 18.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7a…8a7fbacked No | 80c | 17.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffff…9401backed No | 80c | 16.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5810…776ebacked No | 80c | 16.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x486f…b325backed No | 80c | 15.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…f0a5backed No | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c54…da2cbacked No | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…0708backed No | 80c | 12.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Tigre win on 2026-01-29?this page
- Will CA Belgrano vs. CA Tigre end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CA Belgrano win on 2026-01-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.