Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs. UC Davis Aggies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51b6ef7cff24b97c53c7b90a15b53f8d1f5854b9e7ec25d372aeb82b6558fe43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UC Davis Aggiesof UC Santa Barbara Gauchos, UC Davis Aggies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,002
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,372
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,002 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 22c | 996.32$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.38 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 60c | 729.32$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.59 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 62c | 657.95$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.09 | 453 | 51.4%233 W · 220 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 19c | 541.74$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.27 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked UC Davis Aggies | 40c | 470$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 371 | 42.6%158 W · 213 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked UC Davis Aggies | 38c | 419.31$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.79 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed UC Davis Aggies | 43c | 340$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.35 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked UC Davis Aggies | 39c | 307.68$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.69 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 61c | 283$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.63 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed UC Davis Aggies | 56c | 266$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.78 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked UC Davis Aggies | 38c | 241.81$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.92 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed UC Davis Aggies | 71c | 229.49$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.01 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 38c | 220$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.8 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x208e…4e60backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 62c | 192.15$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 51c | 174.13$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.6 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed UC Davis Aggies | 66c | 157.21$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.98 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 23c | 136.97$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 33c | 118.72$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.91 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ca…0a0dbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 16c | 95.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed UC Davis Aggies | 64c | 89.54$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.32 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked UC Davis Aggies | 39c | 87.25$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.54 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed UC Davis Aggies | 70c | 77.31$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…b0f8backed UC Davis Aggies | 40c | 65$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 28c | 64.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 61c | 55$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.55 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed UC Davis Aggies | 39c | 50.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.1 | 254 | 36.6%93 W · 161 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked UC Davis Aggies | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 58c | 46.71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.16 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…fb77backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 57c | 39.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked UC Davis Aggies | 38c | 35.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked UC Davis Aggies | 59c | 33.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed UC Davis Aggies | 57c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 217 | 46.1%100 W · 117 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 55c | 31.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed UC Davis Aggies | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…5302backed UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 61c | 26.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed UC Davis Aggies | 40c | 26.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.09 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 62c | 16.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 390 | 50.5%197 W · 193 L | -34.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked UC Davis Aggies | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs. UC Davis Aggiesthis page
- Spread: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos (-3.5)UC Davis Aggies won
- UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs. UC Davis Aggies: O/U 148.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.