Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Missouri State Bears vs. UTEP Miners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2075fd3b83b33e3da976aea944f55fbf93f8e84b756f652620ac78b53f2db1c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Missouri State Bearsof Missouri State Bears, UTEP Miners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,428
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,253
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,428 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Missouri State Bears | 57c | 3,788$2,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,629.24 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked UTEP Miners | 70c | 2,420$1,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,701.42 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Missouri State Bears | 28c | 2,149$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,539.02 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked UTEP Miners | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked UTEP Miners | 43c | 1,028$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.2 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked UTEP Miners | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Missouri State Bears | 28c | 793.42$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.32 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed UTEP Miners | 52c | 731.06$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.75 | 186 | 54.3%101 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Missouri State Bears | 62c | 559$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.05 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed UTEP Miners | 33c | 372$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.76 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed UTEP Miners | 20c | 241.71$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.36 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed UTEP Miners | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x403f…2b6bbacked UTEP Miners | 26c | 227.04$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Missouri State Bears | 73c | 208.95$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.49 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Missouri State Bears | 55c | 202.45$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.1 | 407 | 55.8%227 W · 180 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48b5…10aebacked Missouri State Bears | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed UTEP Miners | 48c | 168.44$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.07 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Missouri State Bears | 77c | 154.94$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.69 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed UTEP Miners | 45c | 146.57$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.52 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Missouri State Bears | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked UTEP Miners | 65c | 88.63$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.82 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…84b0backed UTEP Miners | 61c | 88.34$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.74 | 299 | 54.2%162 W · 137 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed UTEP Miners | 42c | 88.23$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.09 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked UTEP Miners | 50c | 68.61$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.21 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ad…8b71backed UTEP Miners | 67c | 67.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…7b98backed Missouri State Bears | 59c | 58.87$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.87 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked UTEP Miners | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked UTEP Miners | 65c | 49.47$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Missouri State Bears | 55c | 44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked UTEP Miners | 45c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad4…06a6backed Missouri State Bears | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf121…6903backed Missouri State Bears | 48c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…47afbacked Missouri State Bears | 29c | 35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed UTEP Miners | 71c | 35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec3…4db1backed UTEP Miners | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked UTEP Miners | 43c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed UTEP Miners | 33c | 31.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed UTEP Miners | 43c | 31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Missouri State Bears | 55c | 28.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…4ac6backed Missouri State Bears | 49c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Missouri State Bears vs. UTEP Minersthis page
- Missouri State Bears vs. UTEP Miners: O/U 139.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.