NHL · resolved market
SHL: Vaexjoe vs. Froelunda HC
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a89ee896f237b83ad09d131914bcfa55becdcd5f349c3bb7ee45d7c3062b379
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Froelunda HCof Vaexjoe, Froelunda HC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,529
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,537
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,529 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Vaexjoe | 51c | 535.15$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.29 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Froelunda HC | 49c | 350.88$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.97 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7012…1178backed Froelunda HC | 46c | 232$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x215f…8383backed Vaexjoe | 54c | 231$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…ee39backed Vaexjoe | 54c | 225$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee9…afdabacked Froelunda HC | 46c | 224$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Froelunda HC | 48c | 91.69$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.68 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd6…5d1cbacked Froelunda HC | 58c | 69.31$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.31 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Froelunda HC | 47c | 66$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.98 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1be0…8892backed Froelunda HC | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed Vaexjoe | 42c | 49.31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Froelunda HC | 41c | 41$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Vaexjoe | 51c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x663b…e26cbacked Vaexjoe | 53c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8380…1866backed Vaexjoe | 53c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed Vaexjoe | 59c | 16.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Froelunda HC | 70c | 14.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.