Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
VMI Keydets vs. The Citadel Bulldogs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x801941b47c15b3d1f51b841290bb89fc198a289b93055bf86ad2921dd6a06909
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- The Citadel Bulldogsof VMI Keydets, The Citadel Bulldogs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,319
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,562
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,319 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x17fd…976fbacked VMI Keydets | 44c | 3,700$1,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,628 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe588…7658backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 56c | 3,700$2,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,628 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 59c | 2,710$1,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.35 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked VMI Keydets | 42c | 2,522$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.1 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked VMI Keydets | 14c | 1,500$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked VMI Keydets | 39c | 792.05$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.07 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 58c | 767$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.14 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed VMI Keydets | 46c | 400$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked The Citadel Bulldogs | 58c | 388$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.8 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked The Citadel Bulldogs | 60c | 367.25$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.9 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked The Citadel Bulldogs | 57c | 308.98$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.56 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb2…5a2dbacked VMI Keydets | 41c | 301.56$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.64 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed VMI Keydets | 41c | 242.68$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked VMI Keydets | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed VMI Keydets | 23c | 214.26$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.09 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 59c | 214.24$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.84 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked VMI Keydets | 22c | 212.26$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.7 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed VMI Keydets | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…0821backed VMI Keydets | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 62c | 162.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.11 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed VMI Keydets | 41c | 138.25$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.79 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked VMI Keydets | 42c | 125.33$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.64 | 225 | 52.9%119 W · 106 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked The Citadel Bulldogs | 60c | 120$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 365 | 35.9%131 W · 234 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked The Citadel Bulldogs | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked VMI Keydets | 43c | 99.98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.99 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked The Citadel Bulldogs | 59c | 99.64$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | -7.1wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed VMI Keydets | 19c | 69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed VMI Keydets | 41c | 60.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked VMI Keydets | 41c | 55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed VMI Keydets | 42c | 54.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked VMI Keydets | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 322 | 46.6%150 W · 172 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c94…1b47backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 58c | 48.28$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed VMI Keydets | 42c | 46.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 63c | 41.79$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 57c | 35.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.31 | 217 | 46.1%100 W · 117 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 75c | 27.67$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…84b0backed VMI Keydets | 45c | 26.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 299 | 54.2%162 W · 137 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…d6c0backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 55c | 19.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed The Citadel Bulldogs | 55c | 19.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.