NHL · resolved market
SHL: HV 71 vs. Leksands IF
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8573018defc8a1b4bb791ce2cea53f37b2edb2881b060fee60602dc74c1fc73
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HV 71of HV 71, Leksands IF
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,465
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,465 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa578…6702backed HV 71 | 54c | 366$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.36 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed HV 71 | 54c | 280$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.8 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked HV 71 | 54c | 222$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.12 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Leksands IF | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae60…1f06backed Leksands IF | 47c | 196.47$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.34 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Leksands IF | 46c | 196$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.92 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Leksands IF | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 454 | 47.8%217 W · 237 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked HV 71 | 54c | 129.63$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.63 | 104 | 64.4%67 W · 37 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Leksands IF | 46c | 108.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 181 | 43.1%78 W · 103 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Leksands IF | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…d4c9backed HV 71 | 55c | 87.4$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Leksands IF | 46c | 67.36$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Leksands IF | 45c | 60.59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.57 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed HV 71 | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed HV 71 | 54c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…0f95backed Leksands IF | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked HV 71 | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46bb…cba7backed HV 71 | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked HV 71 | 72c | 18.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.