NHL · resolved market
SHL: Luleaa vs. Malmoe
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93da9d6b8a95061a0f27664c841a4b1cbf5c1a566c7caa27a1014954ceffe577
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Luleaaof Luleaa, Malmoe
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,952
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,353
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,952 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd68…90efbacked Luleaa | 67c | 699.99$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85e9…5e96backed Malmoe | 33c | 694.54$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f57…05f5backed Luleaa | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed Malmoe | 36c | 276.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Malmoe | 37c | 210$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.65 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Luleaa | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Luleaa | 70c | 143.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.12 | 417 | 57.3%239 W · 178 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Malmoe | 34c | 117$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 54 | 74.1%40 W · 14 L | +11.1wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +49%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Malmoe | 36c | 103.76$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.35 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…aed4backed Malmoe | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Malmoe | 34c | 95.58$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Malmoe | 34c | 90$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Luleaa | 62c | 87.1$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.1 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked Luleaa | 65c | 87$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Malmoe | 36c | 80.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Malmoe | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Malmoe | 34c | 48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f6…9cdabacked Luleaa | 66c | 39$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…d7b0backed Luleaa | 61c | 39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd647…9c8fbacked Luleaa | 66c | 36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +5.9wins | +0.37per pick | 51cpaid | +89.8%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd253…14d9backed Luleaa | 66c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x663b…e26cbacked Luleaa | 66c | 34$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9b…50e0backed Malmoe | 33c | 33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…bbe8backed Malmoe | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…d6c0backed Luleaa | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 124 | 55.6%69 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…e845backed Malmoe | 35c | 29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x859a…1ccebacked Luleaa | 61c | 29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6468…e03dbacked Luleaa | 66c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a9…f72ebacked Luleaa | 66c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b40…93f4backed Luleaa | 66c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d19…0b39backed Luleaa | 66c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Luleaa | 67c | 23.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed Luleaa | 60c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecd…b2c0backed Luleaa | 66c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x063c…d642backed Luleaa | 66c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934a…9096backed Luleaa | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bd…8deabacked Luleaa | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…0730backed Luleaa | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2949…76bcbacked Luleaa | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc86f…341dbacked Luleaa | 61c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.