Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Paris FC be relegated from Ligue 1 after the 2025–26 season?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69bafa45a085aa1be26d6fe0e9e03eaccaa1066aef68b9c91242092c50f3ea97
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,864
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,424
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,864 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ce2…33c6backed No | 80c | 194.2$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d3…0be7backed No | 80c | 189.4$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x804b…1d41backed No | 80c | 187.42$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd12…9a22backed No | 80c | 185.16$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa210…4b7cbacked No | 80c | 184.37$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20d…2f01backed No | 80c | 183.23$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa206…536bbacked No | 80c | 183.1$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x743b…ada6backed No | 80c | 182.26$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x741a…ae6bbacked No | 80c | 182.16$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…5ee7backed No | 80c | 180.81$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa95…0817backed No | 80c | 180.75$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd093…a20abacked No | 80c | 177.1$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c44…948dbacked No | 80c | 175.18$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa576…e2bfbacked No | 80c | 172.52$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d62…6c73backed No | 80c | 165.92$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Yes | 11c | 111$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 67c | 103.37$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.62 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf7…db17backed Yes | 25c | 86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f15…0ce5backed Yes | 45c | 32.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Paris FC be relegated from Ligue 1 after the 2025–26 season?this page
- Will Angers be relegated from Ligue 1 after the 2025–26 season?No won
- Will Brest be relegated from Ligue 1 after the 2025–26 season?No won
- Will Le Havre be relegated from Ligue 1 after the 2025–26 season?No won
- Will Lorient be relegated from Ligue 1 after the 2025–26 season?No won
- Will Metz be relegated from Ligue 1 after the 2025–26 season?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.