Tennis · resolved market
ATP Washington D.C: Wu vs. Popyrin
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x276f902b545e5229a6443ca5af15e815e28e4d7f1ad1a0b2687d992e29d8af14
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wuof Wu, Popyrin
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,317
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,185
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,317 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf520…0637backed Wu | 49c | 8,708$4,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,414.7 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…5c93backed Popyrin | 52c | 6,894$3,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,618.45 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Popyrin | 53c | 5,454$2,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,890.79 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Wu | 46c | 3,327$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,796.54 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Popyrin | 53c | 3,105$1,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,654.59 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Popyrin | 52c | 1,254$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.55 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Wu | 49c | 1,220$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 316 | 50%158 W · 158 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c24…fbc9backed Wu | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…61e1backed Wu | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Wu | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 260 | 39.2%102 W · 158 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x152a…0626backed Wu | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 54cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…f7b0backed Wu | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…7d1bbacked Popyrin | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb009…dea1backed Popyrin | 53c | 950$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…16fdbacked Popyrin | 55c | 915$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc559…ac69backed Wu | 53c | 903.03$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.03 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…2145backed Popyrin | 48c | 811.05$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.4 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Wu | 47c | 800$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424 | 296 | 36.8%109 W · 187 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Wu | 47c | 745$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.85 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Wu | 46c | 725.06$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.53 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddef…615abacked Popyrin | 54c | 715$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x743e…16aebacked Wu | 51c | 700$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed Popyrin | 53c | 679.39$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.08 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…49e6backed Popyrin | 53c | 664.62$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.75 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Wu | 51c | 626.34$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.98 | 321 | 41.1%132 W · 189 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Popyrin | 55c | 600$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Popyrin | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Popyrin | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Popyrin | 50c | 310$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 220 | 21.8%48 W · 172 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…28cebacked Popyrin | 54c | 275$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked Popyrin | 46c | 219.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Wu | 47c | 213.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.33 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Wu | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Popyrin | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f39…27a5backed Wu | 57c | 163.4$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.66 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Wu | 56c | 163.06$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.03 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Wu | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Wu | 48c | 110$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Wu | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50f3…c2c2backed Wu | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33e2…aec0backed Popyrin | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca8…3e59backed Wu | 47c | 98.59$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.25 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x447c…9f3ebacked Popyrin | 55c | 85$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd920…b7b6backed Popyrin | 55c | 80$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Popyrin | 55c | 72.08$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Wu | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Wu | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 173 | 38.7%67 W · 106 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc910…5e8dbacked Popyrin | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ca…198bbacked Popyrin | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0d…786fbacked Wu | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc579…4df0backed Popyrin | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Popyrin | 52c | 46.37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.11 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2466…e4afbacked Popyrin | 29c | 37.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc043…8121backed Wu | 47c | 37.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Popyrin | 36c | 36.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0667…42e1backed Wu | 47c | 33.86$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d7…f55fbacked Wu | 47c | 26.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6fd…b264backed Popyrin | 52c | 19.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 69cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.