WNBA · resolved market
Wings vs Sky
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51fcf32578ab0da711f3aeec8752d7366fd289f0df9385c61c49a58d05fb18b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Skyof Wings, Sky
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $123,150
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $136,750
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,150 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Wings | 52c | 30,300$15,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,756 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Sky | 48c | 29,527$14,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,354.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Wings | 51c | 13,989$7,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,198.81 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Wings | 52c | 8,410$4,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,373 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -26%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Sky | 48c | 8,058$3,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,190.19 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Sky | 52c | 8,003$4,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,868.48 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Sky | 50c | 4,062$2,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,048.52 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Sky | 58c | 3,362$1,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,417.09 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Wings | 42c | 3,297$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395.28 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Wings | 48c | 3,157$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515.38 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Sky | 50c | 2,278$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.01 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Wings | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Wings | 51c | 1,582$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Sky | 51c | 1,438$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.89 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Sky | 53c | 1,212$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.44 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Wings | 48c | 1,050$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Sky | 49c | 1,032$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.51 | 124 | 63.7%79 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Wings | 34c | 1,018$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.55 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Sky | 51c | 841$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.76 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Wings | 46c | 760.87$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0516…dbc2backed Wings | 52c | 639.93$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.81 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…5ba5backed Sky | 58c | 600.78$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.78 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Sky | 50c | 503$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +97.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Wings | 44c | 468$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.69 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Wings | 37c | 451$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.69 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Wings | 57c | 402.88$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.14 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Wings | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Wings | 46c | 379.24$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.94 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Sky | 48c | 372$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.44 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9997…af3bbacked Wings | 50c | 363.64$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.82 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Wings | 7c | 359.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.17 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Sky | 69c | 289$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.59 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Sky | 51c | 256$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.44 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Wings | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Wings | 47c | 212.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Wings | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Wings | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x328a…224abacked Sky | 54c | 181.48$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Wings | 47c | 180.35$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.76 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Wings | 29c | 170.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -5.8wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x198b…9973backed Sky | 52c | 145.52$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.75 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Wings | 52c | 132$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Wings | 35c | 120$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85e1…0e40backed Sky | 54c | 105.96$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +83.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Sky | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +8.4wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed Wings | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Sky | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Sky | 50c | 93.8$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.9 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Sky | 48c | 93$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.36 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ed82backed Wings | 48c | 84.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.33 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f39…27a5backed Wings | 48c | 72.85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.97 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6111…c02fbacked Sky | 55c | 62.08$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc3…74c9backed Sky | 55c | 62.08$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a9…0952backed Wings | 30c | 49.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 82 | 12.2%10 W · 72 L | -10.5wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Wings | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f3…c2c2backed Sky | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Sky | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Sky | 65c | 38.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Sky | 49c | 37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Sky | 54c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Sky | 49c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.88 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e4…b46fbacked Sky | 55c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9045…321abacked Sky | 55c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Sky | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd10…f4bcbacked Sky | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Wings | 50c | 20.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.