Lol · resolved market
League of Legends: LNG Esports vs. Ninjas in Pyjamas
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72fa98dce05b915f1f2674959a5cc77d02012937de58e540455fd4cccd6a0bf5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NIPof LNG, NIP
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,669
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $108,244
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,669 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed LNG | 40c | 20,371$8,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,192.44 | 364 | 33.8%123 W · 241 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed LNG | 40c | 17,120$6,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,885.42 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked NIP | 61c | 12,809$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,031.71 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed NIP | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,100 | 234 | 47.9%112 W · 122 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed LNG | 37c | 8,849$3,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,292.63 | 310 | 36.1%112 W · 198 L | -18.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed NIP | 61c | 4,703$2,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,833 | 435 | 39.5%172 W · 263 L | -24.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed LNG | 16c | 4,402$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.37 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x178e…76f7backed LNG | 40c | 3,568$1,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,432.72 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed NIP | 57c | 2,900$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed NIP | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked NIP | 76c | 1,972$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.3 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked NIP | 71c | 1,677$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.6 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabdf…e8e4backed NIP | 61c | 1,640$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.93 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed NIP | 60c | 1,593$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.72 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed NIP | 60c | 1,500$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked NIP | 60c | 1,382$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.87 | 137 | 47.4%65 W · 72 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c54…cc1ebacked NIP | 79c | 1,250$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.5 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked NIP | 61c | 916.75$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.53 | 123 | 60.2%74 W · 49 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1669…22efbacked NIP | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f78…68a4backed LNG | 10c | 800$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked LNG | 17c | 695.7$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.92 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d5…cf40backed NIP | 76c | 600.07$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.78 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.23per pick | 68cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfec7…1594backed NIP | 60c | 576.6$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.64 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa856…3964backed LNG | 56c | 573.73$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.57 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2095…8521backed NIP | 59c | 551.19$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed LNG | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,180 | 44.5%525 W · 655 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e9…c21ebacked LNG | 9c | 485$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.75 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…831abacked LNG | 36c | 406.25$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.25 | 53 | 11.3%6 W · 47 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed NIP | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 153 | 70.6%108 W · 45 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked NIP | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 131 | 64.9%85 W · 46 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed LNG | 27c | 300$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8997…c11abacked LNG | 22c | 270.53$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.22 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaeaa…4577backed NIP | 54c | 258.78$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.98 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…3050backed NIP | 59c | 248.84$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 123 | 61.8%76 W · 47 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae0e…6527backed LNG | 41c | 242.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked NIP | 57c | 225.98$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.49 | 194 | 51%99 W · 95 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed NIP | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed LNG | 40c | 170$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x530c…fb1bbacked NIP | 60c | 167$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.8 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…4b6fbacked NIP | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed NIP | 59c | 107.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.18 | 1,136 | 63.1%717 W · 419 L | +51.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed LNG | 44c | 103.49$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 618 | 49.8%308 W · 310 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d73…2a58backed NIP | 61c | 97.15$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.89 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed LNG | 28c | 95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.85 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed LNG | 40c | 90$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.18 | 441 | 28.1%124 W · 317 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f39…27a5backed LNG | 50c | 88.68$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.12 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7055…9717backed LNG | 36c | 87.69$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd32f…ae42backed NIP | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed NIP | 63c | 56.92$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.92 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked LNG | 45c | 55.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 462 | 58.4%270 W · 192 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…a9d4backed LNG | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5819…3a93backed NIP | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa33f…fedbbacked LNG | 42c | 46.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed LNG | 47c | 41.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48bb…0790backed NIP | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f0…0e43backed NIP | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e49…9714backed NIP | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked NIP | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1,155 | 68.1%786 W · 369 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeac2…9705backed LNG | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed NIP | 60c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 364 | 65.1%237 W · 127 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.