Lol · resolved market
League of Legends: Team WE vs. Weibo Gaming
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6ff1580c246773d00a69cb0938c298e0d06cc567e99f1bd8dc74a33f45331fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Weibo Gamingof Team WE, Weibo Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $149,847
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $171,925
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $149,847 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Team WE | 0c | 52,537$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.54 | 102 | 28.4%29 W · 73 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Weibo Gaming | 60c | 20,013$12,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,920.78 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked Team WE | 37c | 11,040$4,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,084.82 | 90 | 20%18 W · 72 L | -13.2wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Team WE | 42c | 7,920$3,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,326 | 310 | 36.1%112 W · 198 L | -18.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team WE | 40c | 7,122$2,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,863.51 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Team WE | 22c | 7,066$1,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,524.03 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Team WE | 65c | 5,160$3,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,341.58 | 228 | 58.3%133 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…831abacked Team WE | 38c | 4,333$1,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,646.62 | 53 | 11.3%6 W · 47 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Weibo Gaming | 44c | 3,182$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,781.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Weibo Gaming | 43c | 2,773$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,572.28 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Weibo Gaming | 62c | 2,500$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950 | 435 | 39.5%172 W · 263 L | -24.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfec7…1594backed Team WE | 42c | 2,370$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.87 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x178e…76f7backed Weibo Gaming | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Team WE | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…cd12backed Weibo Gaming | 62c | 1,965$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.01 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…77f1backed Team WE | 7c | 1,800$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabdf…e8e4backed Weibo Gaming | 63c | 1,603$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.34 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Weibo Gaming | 54c | 1,555$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.3 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Weibo Gaming | 63c | 1,397$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.03 | 137 | 47.4%65 W · 72 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Team WE | 15c | 1,173$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.67 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Weibo Gaming | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae0e…6527backed Weibo Gaming | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.18 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked Team WE | 60c | 982.44$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.46 | 91 | 27.5%25 W · 66 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Team WE | 38c | 800$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 1,180 | 44.5%525 W · 655 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team WE | 38c | 799.99$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1669…22efbacked Team WE | 40c | 505$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Weibo Gaming | 56c | 471.7$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.55 | 518 | 52.7%273 W · 245 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Weibo Gaming | 34c | 448.59$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.07 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Weibo Gaming | 58c | 416.29$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.73 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Team WE | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 194 | 51%99 W · 95 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Weibo Gaming | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 130 | 63.8%83 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2095…8521backed Weibo Gaming | 60c | 292.03$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.61 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Weibo Gaming | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 924 | 50.9%470 W · 454 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed Weibo Gaming | 56c | 180$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.1 | 364 | 65.1%237 W · 127 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Weibo Gaming | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c55…e0f8backed Team WE | 66c | 148.59$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.07 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Weibo Gaming | 61c | 140.94$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.97 | 364 | 33.8%123 W · 241 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Team WE | 39c | 110$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 1,136 | 63.1%717 W · 419 L | +51.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61cd…541ebacked Team WE | 58c | 100.41$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.41 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a1…6daebacked Weibo Gaming | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Weibo Gaming | 62c | 98.37$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.38 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Team WE | 41c | 75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd860…693dbacked Weibo Gaming | 53c | 66.24$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Weibo Gaming | 57c | 61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.48 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd32f…ae42backed Weibo Gaming | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5819…3a93backed Weibo Gaming | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…cecbbacked Weibo Gaming | 46c | 43.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.91 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec3…9766backed Team WE | 51c | 43.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 123 | 64.2%79 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3de…eea7backed Weibo Gaming | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f39…27a5backed Team WE | 53c | 34.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed Team WE | 34c | 30.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 525 | 38.9%204 W · 321 L | +18.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf15a…6df2backed Weibo Gaming | 63c | 30.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 67cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x74f0…0e43backed Weibo Gaming | 58c | 28.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…8d1bbacked Weibo Gaming | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -6.3wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c9…d707backed Weibo Gaming | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.