Lol · resolved market
League of Legends: Weibo Gaming vs. FunPlus Phoenix
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2656e493b44430ec4fdb271e4aa3b2043941b6e4d7387a9e6b8d18cd1f573269
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Weibo Gamingof Weibo Gaming, FunPlus Phoenix
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,170
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,433
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,170 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xce6d…6130backed Weibo Gaming | 76c | 17,962$13,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,270.78 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed FunPlus Phoenix | 21c | 10,852$2,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,309.51 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed FunPlus Phoenix | 30c | 4,859$1,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440.76 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed FunPlus Phoenix | 28c | 1,634$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.93 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed FunPlus Phoenix | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24d5…cf40backed Weibo Gaming | 76c | 292.79$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.27 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.23per pick | 68cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Weibo Gaming | 73c | 205.48$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.48 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Weibo Gaming | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed FunPlus Phoenix | 27c | 192.78$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.05 | 364 | 33.8%123 W · 241 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Weibo Gaming | 72c | 142.25$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.83 | 1,241 | 52.7%654 W · 587 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeaa…4577backed FunPlus Phoenix | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked FunPlus Phoenix | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 276 | 32.6%90 W · 186 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcebd…3769backed FunPlus Phoenix | 21c | 70.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Weibo Gaming | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked FunPlus Phoenix | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 462 | 58.4%270 W · 192 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f39…27a5backed FunPlus Phoenix | 42c | 31.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.