CS2 · resolved market
IEM Cologne: GamerLegion vs. Complexity
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62c515d1b350374f93950bd1043470a3217c80fd6af8d27bc67d1043a462115f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GamerLegionof GamerLegion, Complexity
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,759
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,730
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,759 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52ad…337dbacked Complexity | 43c | 1,951$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.11 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed GamerLegion | 77c | 1,320$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.28 | 567 | 38.8%220 W · 347 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Complexity | 19c | 1,188$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.65 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed GamerLegion | 57c | 1,100$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473 | 218 | 46.8%102 W · 116 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2242…ce59backed Complexity | 20c | 990$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f78…68a4backed Complexity | 11c | 827.37$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.74 | 85 | 4.7%4 W · 81 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Complexity | 17c | 721.7$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.69 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6583…34d1backed GamerLegion | 80c | 540$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked GamerLegion | 55c | 501.11$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.5 | 121 | 45.5%55 W · 66 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd688…0a1abacked GamerLegion | 80c | 460$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1669…22efbacked Complexity | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed GamerLegion | 57c | 368.42$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.42 | 859 | 46.1%396 W · 463 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked GamerLegion | 71c | 350$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.5 | 421 | 49.6%209 W · 212 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Complexity | 42c | 282.65$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.71 | 1,146 | 49.4%566 W · 580 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Complexity | 11c | 274$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed GamerLegion | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed GamerLegion | 57c | 88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.84 | 422 | 57.3%242 W · 180 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47a1…22abbacked Complexity | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a9…23c3backed Complexity | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f39…27a5backed Complexity | 26c | 43.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed GamerLegion | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 737 | 58.2%429 W · 308 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked GamerLegion | 57c | 34.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…6f98backed GamerLegion | 58c | 21.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.