WNBA · resolved market
Sparks vs Mystics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe68a42b3a4959ae91b82863e880852bf024c5c321e1647de3775a0d92e9f6bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sparksof Sparks, Mystics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,901
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,842
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,901 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x008a…21a8backed Mystics | 75c | 8,500$6,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,409.99 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Sparks | 33c | 3,107$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,076.88 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Sparks | 42c | 1,944$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.46 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Sparks | 23c | 1,899$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.28 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -10.3wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Mystics | 50c | 1,051$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.67 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Sparks | 61c | 893$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.09 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Mystics | 50c | 811.12$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.31 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -8.4wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Mystics | 35c | 586.28$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.31 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Mystics | 59c | 500$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.75 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Sparks | 60c | 461.03$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.44 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…5ba5backed Sparks | 41c | 351.84$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.2 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4f…86b3backed Mystics | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Sparks | 31c | 319.77$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.67 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Mystics | 48c | 312.64$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Mystics | 59c | 303.39$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -8.3wins | -0.27per pick | 65cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Sparks | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Sparks | 44c | 229.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.77 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Sparks | 43c | 228.62$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.4 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Sparks | 44c | 227.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.84 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Mystics | 58c | 201.72$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Sparks | 34c | 180.36$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.38 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Sparks | 37c | 180$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.76 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mystics | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8334…ee61backed Mystics | 58c | 156.35$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5856…be4dbacked Mystics | 39c | 140.29$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Sparks | 74c | 134.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.53 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Mystics | 56c | 118.08$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.12 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f39…27a5backed Sparks | 36c | 117.9$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.94 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Sparks | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2838…32bbbacked Mystics | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Mystics | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc910…5e8dbacked Mystics | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Sparks | 43c | 91.1$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.37 | 318 | 47.8%152 W · 166 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Mystics | 57c | 89.32$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.92 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09c4…40cdbacked Sparks | 43c | 79.07$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…6ff0backed Mystics | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Sparks | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Sparks | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 141 | 36.2%51 W · 90 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…a9d4backed Mystics | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…e26cbacked Sparks | 44c | 38.39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -36%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed Mystics | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a28…22f8backed Mystics | 78c | 28.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Sparks | 41c | 26.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d61…5e9ebacked Mystics | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6093…bceebacked Mystics | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.