Tennis · resolved market
ATP Washington D.C: Monfils vs. Yibing
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39c2edecf03b5c82dd19bad635743fc75cc847f4b125509b3089fcfb4fa86f2f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yibingof Monfils, Yibing
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,541
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,686
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,541 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Yibing | 35c | 6,171$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,011.43 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee1…a7aabacked Yibing | 34c | 3,121$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,060 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Monfils | 65c | 2,500$1,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,624.99 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Monfils | 63c | 2,395$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.68 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x743e…16aebacked Monfils | 66c | 2,300$1,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,518 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98b1…d855backed Yibing | 37c | 2,246$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.95 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2360…1c1cbacked Monfils | 17c | 2,077$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Monfils | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 260 | 39.2%102 W · 158 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Yibing | 35c | 1,426$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.65 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Monfils | 64c | 1,055$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.7 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…5c93backed Yibing | 57c | 1,053$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.63 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yibing | 56c | 895$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.91 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Monfils | 29c | 889.97$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.86 | 321 | 41.1%132 W · 189 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Monfils | 65c | 770.73$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.2 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc559…ac69backed Yibing | 42c | 708.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.75 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yibing | 35c | 548.71$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.18 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yibing | 35c | 500$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Monfils | 64c | 500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 316 | 50%158 W · 158 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed Yibing | 35c | 433$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.45 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…2145backed Yibing | 33c | 386.79$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.02 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Yibing | 34c | 379.99$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.99 | 253 | 30%76 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Monfils | 69c | 300$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yibing | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked Yibing | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yibing | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Yibing | 36c | 273.56$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.08 | 220 | 21.8%48 W · 172 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x713f…22ccbacked Monfils | 65c | 250$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.5 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58e…3af7backed Yibing | 62c | 224.16$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.18 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Monfils | 66c | 200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed Yibing | 31c | 199.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yibing | 60c | 194$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.56 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa21d…a769backed Monfils | 64c | 179.26$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.02 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Monfils | 68c | 170$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.6 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Monfils | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Yibing | 36c | 150$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Monfils | 68c | 146.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Yibing | 38c | 142.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Monfils | 66c | 121.21$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 383 | 56.9%218 W · 165 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeae4…2e84backed Monfils | 55c | 110$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f39…27a5backed Monfils | 64c | 63.94$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.85 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f55…2cd0backed Monfils | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 71cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0667…42e1backed Monfils | 66c | 33.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4d…c0cfbacked Monfils | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Monfils | 65c | 23.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.