WNBA · resolved market
Wings vs Storm
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5dc7afaf208836b1137c911dbf2af8954510d28d96fd779f8907eaadd0617337
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wingsof Wings, Storm
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,225
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,770
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,225 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf520…0637backed Storm | 5c | 21,765$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.59 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Wings | 22c | 5,527$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,312.95 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Wings | 21c | 5,000$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,950 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Storm | 78c | 4,699$3,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,676.17 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 75cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Storm | 79c | 3,845$3,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,037.87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Storm | 77c | 2,716$2,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,083.56 | 124 | 63.7%79 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Storm | 2c | 2,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Wings | 22c | 1,564$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.36 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Storm | 62c | 1,500$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.75 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Storm | 78c | 1,404$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.94 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Wings | 25c | 1,363$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.28 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Wings | 25c | 803.28$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.28 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f39…27a5backed Storm | 13c | 745.91$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.79 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Storm | 3c | 566$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 62 | 4.8%3 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11f5…5f39backed Storm | 78c | 455.71$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Wings | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.55 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Wings | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.55 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Wings | 21c | 420$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.8 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Wings | 29c | 400.33$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.05 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Wings | 36c | 353.54$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.82 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -10.3wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Storm | 74c | 285.2$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Wings | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.39 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Wings | 50c | 131.35$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.59 | 318 | 47.8%152 W · 166 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Storm | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.61 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x385a…08d1backed Wings | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.06 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Wings | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc615…9f26backed Wings | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +89.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Storm | 78c | 80.79$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.02 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Storm | 78c | 69$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.95 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2838…32bbbacked Storm | 78c | 65$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.95 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Wings | 23c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc910…5e8dbacked Storm | 71c | 33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.