Tennis · resolved market
ATP Washington D.C: Svajda vs. Lehecka
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x629b5a57f3d60cfed0458cd1f5e1f5765796343d90a0d9b305100f9fa3206800
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leheckaof Svajda, Lehecka
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,971
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,861
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,971 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf520…0637backed Svajda | 10c | 7,147$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.07 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa30d…d31ebacked Svajda | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Svajda | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 296 | 36.8%109 W · 187 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c87…64f8backed Svajda | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc579…4df0backed Svajda | 29c | 935$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d2…67b4backed Lehecka | 73c | 870$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Svajda | 16c | 840.14$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.15 | 321 | 41.1%132 W · 189 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…addfbacked Lehecka | 71c | 720$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Lehecka | 70c | 700.67$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.2 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…5e93backed Lehecka | 71c | 700$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f39…27a5backed Svajda | 18c | 394.76$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.13 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca8…3e59backed Lehecka | 67c | 365.51$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.51 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Svajda | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Svajda | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b70…5695backed Lehecka | 71c | 280$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Svajda | 28c | 275.06$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.02 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2df…5174backed Lehecka | 71c | 260$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Svajda | 14c | 245.79$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.08 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Lehecka | 73c | 157$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.96 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Svajda | 25c | 155$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 253 | 30%76 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Svajda | 28c | 150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc287…f30dbacked Lehecka | 70c | 142.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1071…abafbacked Lehecka | 73c | 130$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +124.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Lehecka | 72c | 104.24$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.24 | 383 | 56.9%218 W · 165 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Svajda | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Lehecka | 69c | 73.63$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.83 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0d…786fbacked Lehecka | 79c | 70$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x499e…9ea3backed Svajda | 29c | 65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…3ce7backed Svajda | 28c | 64.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Svajda | 26c | 59.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 85 | 22.4%19 W · 66 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Svajda | 28c | 57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Lehecka | 73c | 54.87$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e6…99e8backed Lehecka | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x042c…6774backed Lehecka | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…612ebacked Lehecka | 72c | 14.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.