CS2 · resolved market
FISSURE Playground 1: BetBoom vs. BIG
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x952e006268f822765ff19986188752e6a9239f9794ae146094c02d0277b973e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BetBoomof BetBoom, BIG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,375
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,141
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,375 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f78…68a4backed BIG | 5c | 6,832$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.62 | 85 | 4.7%4 W · 81 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed BIG | 47c | 6,228$2,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,936.09 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed BIG | 35c | 4,668$1,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,631.32 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed BetBoom | 54c | 3,957$2,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,805.56 | 282 | 48.9%138 W · 144 L | +21.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed BetBoom | 77c | 3,580$2,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked BetBoom | 48c | 3,424$1,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,796.08 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked BIG | 45c | 1,675$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.16 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9454…6d22backed BIG | 43c | 1,343$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda10…ffeabacked BetBoom | 54c | 981.11$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.31 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked BetBoom | 57c | 729.54$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.04 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…7465backed BetBoom | 68c | 603.6$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.58 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked BetBoom | 50c | 330$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 354 | 41.5%147 W · 207 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa856…3964backed BetBoom | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked BIG | 44c | 198.61$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.39 | 1,152 | 49.4%569 W · 583 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…51c6backed BetBoom | 28c | 180.58$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.02 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e6…67b5backed BIG | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f39…27a5backed BIG | 43c | 93.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.33 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed BetBoom | 57c | 71.93$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.93 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x965f…f5c9backed BetBoom | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef7…bd03backed BetBoom | 63c | 37.48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.