World Politics · resolved market
Will Nicușor Dan win the second most votes in the first round of the Romanian Presidential Election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x321fae27017b422cd8bceec00bf72caa31c7cd2083009c5cae3b5a2dcf00d7d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $297,918
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $320,137
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $297,918 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xce21…d5f5backed No | 59c | 26,374$15,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,560.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9268…6ce0backed Yes | 41c | 26,374$10,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,560.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54db…0174backed No | 5c | 14,317$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.55 | 196 | 23%45 W · 151 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 2c | 13,573$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.09 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed No | 1c | 10,900$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 513 | 2.9%15 W · 498 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 66c | 9,536$6,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,246.5 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked Yes | 35c | 7,761$2,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,018.92 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbd…8d71backed Yes | 75c | 4,619$3,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.44 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72e1…7d89backed Yes | 61c | 4,597$2,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770.49 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f9…ed12backed Yes | 68c | 3,980$2,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.45 | 110 | 13.6%15 W · 95 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdaa…8420backed No | 27c | 3,726$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…d7bdbacked No | 26c | 3,602$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.47 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c37…92a4backed No | 45c | 3,304$1,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,496.73 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff2b…527abacked Yes | 55c | 2,542$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.35 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53c7…dfdebacked Yes | 53c | 2,533$1,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4c…532bbacked Yes | 57c | 2,347$1,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.19 | 55 | 21.8%12 W · 43 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89ee…e46ebacked Yes | 69c | 2,177$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 61cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed Yes | 74c | 2,050$1,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.5 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x384a…54e6backed Yes | 72c | 2,048$1,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.72 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5950…8c48backed Yes | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked No | 4c | 1,849$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.1 | 72 | 25%18 W · 54 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8731…1181backed Yes | 66c | 1,815$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.98 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…8814backed Yes | 60c | 1,637$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x731b…90dfbacked Yes | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe759…e7cabacked Yes | 61c | 1,486$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.17 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcad2…9fc8backed Yes | 49c | 1,457$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.17 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…d6a8backed No | 1c | 1,448$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked Yes | 73c | 1,148$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.76 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc7…8f89backed Yes | 65c | 1,090$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.23 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 60c | 1,080$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.42 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc88f…42c2backed No | 4c | 1,040$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.13 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked No | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62cf…5826backed Yes | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63c3…2783backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…f9f2backed Yes | 56c | 989.06$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.53 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff60…83c0backed Yes | 53c | 875.48$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.04 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa24c…a8efbacked No | 7c | 836.14$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaa…77b7backed Yes | 57c | 791$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.13 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd125…d74dbacked No | 17c | 790.25$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed No | 29c | 727.72$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.04 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3d…76ddbacked No | 23c | 678.01$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.94 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07a7…79f3backed Yes | 76c | 524.42$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…8d04backed Yes | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82c6…0aadbacked Yes | 66c | 456.2$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed Yes | 66c | 456.19$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.56 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | +9.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51de…c4d1backed No | 3c | 443$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb99…8c33backed No | 34c | 439.34$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.52 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…6920backed Yes | 56c | 422$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.78 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.23per pick | 36cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 60c | 400$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 247 | 36.8%91 W · 156 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 55c | 398.48$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.02 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacc8…7d08backed Yes | 74c | 397$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.97 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +11.0wins | +0.18per pick | 31cpaid | +90%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd8…9806backed Yes | 56c | 378.22$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.22 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -54%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde34…efa7backed Yes | 59c | 346.08$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.58 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf2…337cbacked Yes | 57c | 329.21$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2392…0d4bbacked Yes | 72c | 311.21$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.24 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 35cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18aa…f6ecbacked Yes | 32c | 300$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 109 | 28.4%31 W · 78 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…a6a7backed Yes | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee3…bb63backed Yes | 69c | 291.2$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.23per pick | 64cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf83d…4fc7backed Yes | 36c | 291$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.46 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93c6…d9dbbacked Yes | 44c | 276.77$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -42%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90bf…24dbbacked Yes | 40c | 265$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3939…6d6cbacked No | 17c | 260$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb9…1e9abacked Yes | 37c | 260$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +115.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3e…692abacked Yes | 42c | 260$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.74 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…8410backed Yes | 37c | 260$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2100…8bb9backed Yes | 37c | 255$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 37cpaid | +174%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1008…d2efbacked Yes | 61c | 250.89$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.97 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3474…0571backed No | 34c | 250$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 200 | 34%68 W · 132 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eea…56f6backed Yes | 62c | 240.05$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.05 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes | 37c | 240.03$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.23 | 314 | 43.9%138 W · 176 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 61c | 239.33$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.13 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87cd…6f2abacked No | 60c | 233.63$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.73 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x071a…df8ebacked Yes | 65c | 218.6$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.2 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Yes | 79c | 206.79$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.46 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -48%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39a8…b537backed Yes | 55c | 204.81$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.36 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 37cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…9862backed Yes | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70fd…736abacked Yes | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb076…e62dbacked Yes | 51c | 195.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.82 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47bf…185dbacked Yes | 55c | 182$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.9 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 35cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9322…c2f8backed Yes | 60c | 177.32$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.09 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd5…605abacked Yes | 37c | 170$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4d…e209backed No | 40c | 167.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x642e…314dbacked Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe9…0d6ebacked Yes | 40c | 160.7$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6546…feecbacked No | 63c | 160$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8c…757abacked No | 20c | 160$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb50e…99f2backed Yes | 51c | 156.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a28…3a9abacked Yes | 37c | 156$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.28 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +108.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3270…fccfbacked No | 63c | 155$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe0…37adbacked No | 63c | 155$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdc…d95ebacked Yes | 46c | 155$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f2…766cbacked No | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7385…e780backed No | 63c | 150$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb65…8accbacked No | 63c | 150$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f8…9139backed No | 63c | 150$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…6a01backed Yes | 65c | 133.59$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.83 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea6f…0c0abacked Yes | 74c | 125.27$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.13 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc08…37d8backed Yes | 70c | 125.13$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…a35bbacked Yes | 53c | 116.22$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.79 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 64c | 115.76$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.92 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nicușor Dan win the second most votes in the first round of the Romanian Presidential Election?this page
- Will Crin Antonescu win the second most votes in the first round of the Romanian Presidential Election?No won
- Will Elena Lasconi win the second most votes in the first round of the Romanian Presidential Election?No won
- Will George Simion win the second most votes in the first round of the Romanian Presidential Election?No won
- Will Victor Ponta win the second most votes in the first round of the Romanian Presidential Election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.