World Politics · resolved market
Will Crin Antonescu win the second most votes in the first round of the Romanian Presidential Election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07e1d6a82e49edcb37c965e0ac07a9045213fd9a5ae0035792b8df1c24024941
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $242,137
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $220,949
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $242,137 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2b39…bc0dbacked Yes | 3c | 11,351$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.04 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 1c | 9,935$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.03 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed No | 79c | 9,654$7,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,027.34 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | +9.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc485…17efbacked Yes | 4c | 8,098$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.59 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fb…859dbacked Yes | 2c | 6,361$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.88 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb11c…fe41backed Yes | 2c | 5,796$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.27 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x561e…2093backed Yes | 3c | 5,036$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.46 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 25c | 4,908$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216.58 | 165 | 35.8%59 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04e5…9597backed Yes | 1c | 4,592$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb89d…fbf2backed Yes | 21c | 4,550$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.46 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ae…4f2fbacked Yes | 0c | 4,370$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54db…0174backed Yes | 4c | 4,168$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.52 | 196 | 23%45 W · 151 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb204…73e1backed Yes | 5c | 3,851$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bb…8ee0backed Yes | 50c | 3,382$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa8…a7cabacked Yes | 33c | 3,374$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1a…65d7backed Yes | 7c | 3,284$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…36a7backed Yes | 7c | 2,857$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…8dfcbacked Yes | 47c | 2,800$1,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,301.99 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f9…ed12backed No | 70c | 2,550$1,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 110 | 13.6%15 W · 95 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x071a…df8ebacked Yes | 25c | 2,530$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.54 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…d7bdbacked Yes | 34c | 2,408$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.99 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa936…46c9backed Yes | 1c | 2,389$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked Yes | 22c | 2,222$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.84 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21cb…63cebacked Yes | 16c | 2,208$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc3…648ebacked Yes | 33c | 2,192$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.99 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f05…6cf9backed Yes | 1c | 1,927$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3474…0571backed Yes | 7c | 1,901$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.44 | 200 | 34%68 W · 132 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ec…42f7backed Yes | 7c | 1,624$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbd…ed66backed Yes | 43c | 1,525$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe715…38acbacked Yes | 3c | 1,500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaa…77b7backed Yes | 40c | 1,337$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,300$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7e…a7b0backed Yes | 48c | 1,271$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.67 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff60…83c0backed Yes | 7c | 1,269$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.83 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf9…0930backed Yes | 48c | 1,237$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1008…d2efbacked Yes | 7c | 1,213$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8731…1181backed No | 74c | 1,200$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x069d…b532backed Yes | 10c | 1,005$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62cf…5826backed Yes | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2610…4b04backed Yes | 4c | 851.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…ebc9backed Yes | 29c | 800$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…c9e7backed Yes | 44c | 757.08$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.6 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc7…8f89backed Yes | 18c | 751.8$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.91 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6b…5ef6backed Yes | 7c | 746.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x526e…3bd0backed Yes | 34c | 728.71$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.3 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe274…ee86backed Yes | 37c | 706$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.81 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d13…082cbacked Yes | 27c | 672.19$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.26 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 17c | 668$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.16 | 513 | 2.9%15 W · 498 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc41…38edbacked Yes | 30c | 600$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.46 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb99…8c33backed No | 77c | 586.71$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.42 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82c6…0aadbacked Yes | 54c | 558.87$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes | 4c | 555$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 140 | 33.6%47 W · 93 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93c6…d9dbbacked Yes | 42c | 526.86$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.37 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -42%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x241f…ef50backed Yes | 29c | 520.99$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.42 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | +189.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70fd…736abacked Yes | 36c | 502.84$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.72 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc88f…42c2backed Yes | 2c | 470.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…a6a7backed Yes | 12c | 425.81$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.13 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes | 45c | 414.44$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 65c | 312.6$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.78 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x358a…d45fbacked Yes | 49c | 300$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.1 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…4d49backed Yes | 7c | 282.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89ee…e46ebacked Yes | 58c | 273.07$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.3 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 61cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45be…e3e6backed Yes | 39c | 256.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc160…2353backed No | 43c | 240$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…9862backed Yes | 36c | 240$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.2 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd112…c648backed No | 43c | 235$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e04…88abbacked Yes | 5c | 229.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87cd…6f2abacked No | 73c | 225.01$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.33 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4690…b813backed No | 43c | 225$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81c3…84b0backed No | 43c | 220$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab6…51cebacked Yes | 47c | 210.64$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x509a…8a43backed Yes | 39c | 210$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.9 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 314 | 43.9%138 W · 176 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked No | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed No | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7313…cbbcbacked Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18aa…f6ecbacked Yes | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 109 | 28.4%31 W · 78 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…6a01backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…ff58backed Yes | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 146 | 32.2%47 W · 99 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3939…6d6cbacked Yes | 20c | 191.33$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.69 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20bd…8e5cbacked Yes | 38c | 188.25$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.84 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.34per pick | 25cpaid | +191.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xca8a…dbf8backed Yes | 57c | 180$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaecc…1f6ebacked Yes | 43c | 175$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…9560backed Yes | 57c | 175$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09e2…29debacked Yes | 40c | 170$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d75…a73abacked Yes | 57c | 170$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8c…f075backed Yes | 57c | 170$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb756…8a10backed Yes | 57c | 170$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6490…2dfebacked Yes | 43c | 170$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…029ebacked Yes | 43c | 170$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9e…7047backed Yes | 12c | 167.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 55c | 163.83$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.85 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f866backed Yes | 42c | 152.26$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.34 | 78 | 28.2%22 W · 56 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89fa…2891backed Yes | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…6920backed No | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.23per pick | 36cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcad2…9fc8backed Yes | 38c | 149.21$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.35 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 73c | 146.76$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.69 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d93…8cbebacked Yes | 40c | 135$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.53 | 169 | 40.2%68 W · 101 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89b3…6ed8backed Yes | 49c | 134.83$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.66 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb613…517bbacked Yes | 42c | 110$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.51 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crin Antonescu win the second most votes in the first round of the Romanian Presidential Election?this page
- Will Elena Lasconi win the second most votes in the first round of the Romanian Presidential Election?No won
- Will George Simion win the second most votes in the first round of the Romanian Presidential Election?No won
- Will Nicușor Dan win the second most votes in the first round of the Romanian Presidential Election?Yes won
- Will Victor Ponta win the second most votes in the first round of the Romanian Presidential Election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.