Bundesliga · resolved market

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-11?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe21b0dbd3dd3bcd3c232f0d772b1b86dab95773812d9dc282658a5c65927131a

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jan 11, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,115,697
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,157,127

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,115,697 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe90b…5da2backed No	17c	87,245$14,845 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,845.22	94	55.3%52 W · 42 L	+5.6wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed No	13c	62,107$8,074 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,073.96	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	+12%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No	13c	55,501$7,458 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,457.77	34	29.4%10 W · 24 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No	14c	45,160$6,410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,410.44	3,284	42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L	-74.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked No	15c	43,791$6,586 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,586.4	34	58.8%20 W · 14 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No	8c	39,421$3,345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,344.93	2,538	39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L	-8.1wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No	14c	35,100$4,914 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,913.99	49	38.8%19 W · 30 L	-4.7wins	-0.10per pick	48cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd89e…35fabacked No	12c	32,200$4,019 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,019	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.22per pick	38cpaid	-67.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed No	13c	30,000$3,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,900	114	45.6%52 W · 62 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No	12c	28,350$3,364 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,363.92	31	32.3%10 W · 21 L	+2.5wins	+0.08per pick	24cpaid	+26.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No	11c	22,048$2,320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,319.83	42	28.6%12 W · 30 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x38fe…a923backed No	19c	17,337$3,360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,360.18	27	59.3%16 W · 11 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No	11c	17,265$1,940 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,939.71	271	38.4%104 W · 167 L	-9.0wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-17%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e73…c4ecbacked No	11c	16,382$1,797 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,796.92	22	13.6%3 W · 19 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+287.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No	13c	15,000$1,950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,949.99	166	47%78 W · 88 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No	13c	12,160$1,581 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,580.79	43	41.9%18 W · 25 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed No	12c	10,000$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,199.99	33	27.3%9 W · 24 L	+1.7wins	+0.05per pick	22cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No	11c	8,415$894 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$894.48	536	45.9%246 W · 290 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed No	11c	8,000$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$899.99	59	23.7%14 W · 45 L	-6.1wins	-0.10per pick	34cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No	12c	7,855$943 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$942.6	762	34.8%265 W · 497 L	+9.4wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked No	13c	7,692$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	80	37.5%30 W · 50 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-11%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed No	8c	7,293$573 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$572.82	60	51.7%31 W · 29 L	+4.4wins	+0.07per pick	44cpaid	-6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed No	13c	6,900$897 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$897	31	54.8%17 W · 14 L	+3.1wins	+0.10per pick	45cpaid	+26.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xee67…ef38backed No	12c	6,742$809 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$809.02	28	50%14 W · 14 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-14%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dae…4688backed No	14c	6,071$850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$850	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3909…335fbacked No	12c	6,043$725 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$725.2	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-1.4wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No	7c	5,900$413 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$413	194	58.2%113 W · 81 L	+9.8wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+28%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x08c1…28f7backed No	12c	5,880$706 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$705.6	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ad…fabcbacked No	7c	5,715$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400.08	48	56.3%27 W · 21 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7fc7…969bbacked No	13c	5,520$718 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$717.59	24	25%6 W · 18 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No	11c	5,000$569 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$568.75	98	31.6%31 W · 67 L	-6.5wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-26%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No	12c	4,509$554 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$554.41	1,681	45.2%759 W · 922 L	+6.8wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No	12c	3,050$366 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$366	71	11.3%8 W · 63 L	-5.6wins	-0.08per pick	19cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd05f…8777backed No	11c	3,000$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340	61	26.2%16 W · 45 L	-7.8wins	-0.13per pick	39cpaid	-52.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8b25…e597backed No	12c	3,000$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$359.99	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No	12c	3,000$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$359.99	116	44.8%52 W · 64 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked No	12c	2,825$339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$339	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x22ed…002bbacked No	12c	2,600$312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$312	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed No	12c	2,479$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297.43	109	45.9%50 W · 59 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked No	13c	2,115$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274.95	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	+1.7wins	+0.10per pick	37cpaid	+31.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5582…6af1backed No	13c	2,000$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.18per pick	32cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c02…3c15backed No	11c	2,000$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f40…600dbacked No	13c	1,998$267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$266.53	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-34.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed No	19c	1,985$372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$371.56	54	44.4%24 W · 30 L	-5.5wins	-0.10per pick	55cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x35a6…cb8fbacked No	12c	1,967$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.02	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-3.1wins	-0.26per pick	34cpaid	-86.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No	13c	1,848$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235.47	511	36.8%188 W · 323 L	-28.0wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed No	13c	1,835$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235.15	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+1.1wins	+0.36per pick	31cpaid	+69.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ec8…397bbacked No	9c	1,408$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.27	41	43.9%18 W · 23 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked No	12c	1,372$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.61	101	28.7%29 W · 72 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…0c3dbacked No	23c	1,320$304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$303.6	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-2.6wins	-0.16per pick	45cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x70db…05c8backed No	14c	1,231$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.16	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f78…bfcabacked No	10c	1,200$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.89	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	+1.4wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed No	12c	1,150$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.2	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-1.7wins	-0.10per pick	39cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No	18c	1,118$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.8	157	42%66 W · 91 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5543…e1f5backed No	12c	1,111$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.34	37	21.6%8 W · 29 L	-6.0wins	-0.16per pick	38cpaid	-64.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xde6c…c5d8backed No	11c	1,000$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+1.2wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed No	11c	1,000$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111	150	24%36 W · 114 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No	12c	999.96$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.99	60	53.3%32 W · 28 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x21fb…9a56backed No	14c	999.88$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.98	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x187b…f545backed No	10c	950.44$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.07	39	51.3%20 W · 19 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-19%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No	11c	941.54$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.11	751	42.5%319 W · 432 L	-26.7wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed No	7c	891.75$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.78	100	40%40 W · 60 L	-3.8wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-12%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No	10c	810.86$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.95	238	42.9%102 W · 136 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fac…7e4dbacked No	14c	706.64$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.93	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88f9…325dbacked No	13c	700$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91	10	30%3 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb8a0…35b6backed No	14c	663.36$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.87	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6203…6280backed No	13c	649.99$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.5	20	35%7 W · 13 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	+30.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f67…a1d7backed Yes	79c	552.16$436 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.95	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.21per pick	79cpaid	+26.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed No	12c	552.09$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.09	97	46.4%45 W · 52 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed No	3c	550$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	89	39.3%35 W · 54 L	+4.3wins	+0.05per pick	34cpaid	-1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5165…175bbacked Yes	78c	500$390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-2.2wins	-0.11per pick	46cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x33c9…76afbacked No	12c	500$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ae5…53c8backed No	12c	475.79$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.09	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+1.4wins	+0.11per pick	22cpaid	+30.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed No	7c	410.99$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.17	85	51.8%44 W · 41 L	+4.5wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No	12c	300.01$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.67	194	46.4%90 W · 104 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No	13c	300$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	110	36.4%40 W · 70 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked No	12c	299$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.88	75	32%24 W · 51 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No	13c	296$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.2	185	45.9%85 W · 100 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x610a…3528backed No	14c	295.19$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.19per pick	31cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No	9c	290$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.1	491	43.2%212 W · 279 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa64b…1e4bbacked No	7c	265.69$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.6	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.8wins	+0.26per pick	45cpaid	+36.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xef80…7654backed No	14c	260.93$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.53	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.6wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa383…a2f0backed No	7c	228$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.96	91	45.1%41 W · 50 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-25%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a09…76e9backed No	15c	204.43$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	28	50%14 W · 14 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bb8…71f0backed No	12c	201.5$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.18	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-49.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed No	14c	201.2$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.36	128	32%41 W · 87 L	-9.8wins	-0.08per pick	40cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No	12c	200.05$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.01	135	55.6%75 W · 60 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No	12c	200.01$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.45	160	45%72 W · 88 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked No	11c	200$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	145	39.3%57 W · 88 L	-9.6wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed No	7c	191.88$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.43	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.9wins	+0.10per pick	45cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed No	14c	189.19$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb9…1591backed No	14c	185.35$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.95	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb038…ff5fbacked No	10c	173.63$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.83	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed No	20c	170.43$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.09	46	45.7%21 W · 25 L	-3.4wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x28ad…0614backed No	7c	166.63$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.65	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8b3…8528backed No	13c	165.04$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.45	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No	11c	154.69$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.48	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	-3.8wins	-0.17per pick	40cpaid	-45%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked No	12c	149.97$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	44	40.9%18 W · 26 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16e9…aeefbacked No	13c	148.68$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.77	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+1.4wins	+0.13per pick	51cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6eaa…9baebacked No	11c	146.07$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.45	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-28%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-11?this page
Will FC Bayern München vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw?No won
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-01-11?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-11?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event