Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Livingston FC vs. Dundee United FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e40af3d49466567e8468c640afe56b1c0fc30777077b8c1b5c67fd0c1957d46
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,156
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,954
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,156 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked No | 70c | 3,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.99 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 30c | 2,090$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes | 29c | 1,851$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.67 | 92 | 27.2%25 W · 67 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 30c | 1,667$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 32c | 1,112$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 72c | 1,043$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.98 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 69c | 976.19$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.72 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 70c | 542.25$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.18 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 68c | 522.7$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.81 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 28c | 502.15$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.6 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 26c | 400.01$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.72 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 68c | 303.25$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.88 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 52 | 17.3%9 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 70c | 160.6$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.23 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20fb…e5fabacked Yes | 28c | 160$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked No | 72c | 139.7$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.12 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16bc…110bbacked Yes | 33c | 119.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…842cbacked Yes | 30c | 116.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0968…ee21backed No | 71c | 98$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +221%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 28c | 72.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 70c | 70$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7594…6c37backed Yes | 30c | 47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Yes | 27c | 37.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed No | 70c | 16.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.89 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 73c | 14.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.83 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Livingston FC vs. Dundee United FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Dundee United FC win on 2025-12-30?Yes won
- Will Livingston FC win on 2025-12-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.