Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Dundee United FC win on 2025-12-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5510e86c1967c448cec6eae8d06c2caeee2641830b11cb789ae84c2a95b9a9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,283
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,069
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,283 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 59c | 2,266$1,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,334.15 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…16a4backed Yes | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 59c | 617.33$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.47 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 52 | 17.3%9 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked No | 65c | 404.83$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.14 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 70c | 379$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.3 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 35c | 257$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.05 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 59c | 169.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.57 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 33c | 135.07$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.06 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 55c | 127.11$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.09 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 65c | 109.05$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.17 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…c097backed Yes | 34c | 94.97$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.68 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes | 29c | 75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.25 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 76c | 72.37$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 212 | 56.6%120 W · 92 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked No | 35c | 70$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 144 | 35.4%51 W · 93 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Yes | 30c | 68.18$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.43 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 59c | 64$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 30c | 60$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 104 | 39.4%41 W · 63 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf617…7ff1backed Yes | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 57c | 46.96$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.22 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…c966backed Yes | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 26cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 33c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 64c | 34.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 66c | 27.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Dundee United FC win on 2025-12-30?this page
- Will Livingston FC vs. Dundee United FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Livingston FC win on 2025-12-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.