Serie A · resolved market
Will US Cremonese win on 2025-12-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71da3a7b8b414425bb8f94efc159ff9f8f5e26ba7d7b4837311a3b51b574a174
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,648
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $98,183
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,648 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 14c | 3,049$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.86 | 135 | 17%23 W · 112 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b29…f712backed Yes | 1c | 2,288$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 9c | 2,191$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.41 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de1…3714backed Yes | 16c | 1,831$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 14c | 1,548$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.33 | 129 | 23.3%30 W · 99 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Yes | 13c | 1,469$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.94 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Yes | 14c | 1,413$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.84 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 14c | 1,400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.96 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed Yes | 13c | 1,396$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.54 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 14c | 1,298$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.89 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 15c | 1,170$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.45 | 249 | 39.4%98 W · 151 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34ad…040abacked Yes | 5c | 1,148$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 23cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 14c | 1,024$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.36 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2935…96f7backed Yes | 13c | 999.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaae7…0319backed Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes | 14c | 704.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -32%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe737…cf39backed Yes | 10c | 555.71$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Yes | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…6823backed Yes | 14c | 371$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a9…8000backed Yes | 6c | 363.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes | 14c | 200$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf828…fca3backed Yes | 14c | 199.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 14c | 192.86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20fb…e5fabacked Yes | 13c | 161$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46ee…bb0abacked Yes | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 14c | 144.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0db7…5c06backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 13c | 103.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe450…a40abacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bb…39f3backed Yes | 14c | 80$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Yes | 15c | 67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 171 | 42.7%73 W · 98 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will US Cremonese win on 2025-12-28?this page
- Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-28?Yes won
- Will US Cremonese vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.