Serie A · resolved market
Will US Cremonese vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6c3d252edbbd6b3ab313bd80d05acad074dc1cf05055e44ff2c71a7e9cdae18
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,482
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,327
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,482 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked No | 75c | 2,426$1,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.38 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 75c | 2,324$1,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.32 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 10c | 1,484$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.15 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x561e…3e87backed Yes | 28c | 1,349$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 26c | 1,211$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Yes | 25c | 1,068$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d82…1b86backed Yes | 2c | 999.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 75c | 930$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.5 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked Yes | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 75c | 519$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.75 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…6823backed Yes | 24c | 364.38$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 75c | 313.7$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.43 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 24c | 300.08$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.02 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4be7…8e91backed No | 76c | 286.21$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.69 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0a…70a0backed Yes | 21c | 242.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 76c | 216.17$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.88 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd180…aa0cbacked No | 76c | 199.5$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.88 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46ee…bb0abacked Yes | 25c | 187.08$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 27c | 165.81$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 138 | 26.1%36 W · 102 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1294…9dbabacked No | 73c | 118$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…1591backed No | 76c | 104.73$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.55 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6a…c3d8backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 22c | 85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2107…8f4cbacked Yes | 16c | 81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 175 | 38.9%68 W · 107 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 18c | 77.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 129 | 29.5%38 W · 91 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe61a…61afbacked Yes | 25c | 73.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e74…32c3backed Yes | 22c | 69.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.24per pick | 38cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…c3bfbacked Yes | 25c | 65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9257…ed5fbacked Yes | 24c | 57.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7de4…b2f8backed Yes | 24c | 51.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -59%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 142 | 55.6%79 W · 63 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72cf…eec6backed Yes | 24c | 48.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x478e…324dbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked No | 77c | 39.21$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 75c | 31.95$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 76c | 31.31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.51 | 90 | 78.9%71 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 76cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 79c | 30.08$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 116 | 67.2%78 W · 38 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd53e…e70cbacked No | 75c | 19.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.98 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e2…da1cbacked No | 77c | 18.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbacb…8777backed No | 77c | 17.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacd5…8f11backed No | 77c | 16.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8178…9111backed No | 77c | 16.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +67%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb769…2f74backed No | 77c | 16.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66c4…e05abacked No | 74c | 15.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da2…375cbacked No | 77c | 15.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.54 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x878a…f161backed No | 77c | 15.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.51 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…2ed5backed No | 77c | 14.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.42 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a30…358abacked No | 77c | 14.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa375…74e8backed No | 77c | 13.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will US Cremonese vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?this page
- Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-28?Yes won
- Will US Cremonese win on 2025-12-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.