Premier League · resolved market
Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-01-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x064b696767ccc67500a0e0fc36fa94e5e10da31bac9f33fc2ed2088720699fa5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,979
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,998
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,979 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 15c | 9,775$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.32 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 12c | 6,727$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.58 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 11c | 3,449$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.61 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed No | 77c | 2,600$2,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 72cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a09…db1cbacked No | 79c | 2,532$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.65 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 76c | 2,220$1,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.01 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes | 22c | 2,091$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes | 14c | 1,958$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.11 | 182 | 59.3%108 W · 74 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 13c | 1,566$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.55 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 10c | 1,524$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.69 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed No | 80c | 1,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.05 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 21c | 1,011$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.31 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Yes | 26c | 991.15$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.39 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xace9…f74abacked Yes | 12c | 842.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes | 23c | 761$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.03 | 139 | 39.6%55 W · 84 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…4404backed Yes | 11c | 636.42$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.25 | 73 | 17.8%13 W · 60 L | -8.5wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa271…3b60backed Yes | 26c | 572.38$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 10c | 559.25$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.52 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 21c | 515.07$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.17 | 262 | 29.8%78 W · 184 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Yes | 13c | 309.56$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.33 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked No | 76c | 300$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 75c | 271.02$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.75 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 24c | 239.57$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 79c | 222$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked No | 78c | 199.99$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Yes | 10c | 199.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20fb…e5fabacked Yes | 23c | 160$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Yes | 21c | 149.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 14c | 128.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe37a…3478backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 52cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e83…983dbacked No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea1…6072backed No | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked No | 79c | 64$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 126 | 47.6%60 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 75c | 40.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 271 | 73.8%200 W · 71 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 76cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…ee2ebacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda3d…f39dbacked No | 75c | 17.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-01-01?this page
- Will Charlton Athletic FC vs. Coventry City FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-01-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.