Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Motherwell FC win on 2025-12-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd596da41203b4d482b957f6bbaaa78394d9841ba1977747f8e2a416930af9e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,381
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,170
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,381 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 8c | 7,565$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.7 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked No | 43c | 6,999$3,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,009.62 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Yes | 41c | 2,243$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.58 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 41c | 1,704$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.47 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4e…3309backed Yes | 40c | 1,263$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 19c | 801.84$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.49 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 59c | 746.3$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.18 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54fe…5850backed No | 23c | 700$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 69c | 287.39$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.09 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked No | 25c | 183.14$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 178 | 50.6%90 W · 88 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20fb…e5fabacked Yes | 22c | 159.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.79 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Yes | 78c | 114.01$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.59 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 24c | 93.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 24c | 91$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.16 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 22c | 86.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.59 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 76c | 86.18$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.5 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Yes | 20c | 76.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.77 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…fa1bbacked Yes | 49c | 74.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -66%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 59c | 56.86$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 28c | 53.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.51 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 78c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b83…af97backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 45c | 49.64$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c5…0d72backed Yes | 47c | 41.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.12 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked No | 60c | 37.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.51 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f4…ac96backed No | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 72c | 18.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 78c | 15.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked No | 72c | 15.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb17d…f9b4backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 78cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Motherwell FC win on 2025-12-30?this page
- Will Celtic FC win on 2025-12-30?No won
- Will Motherwell FC vs. Celtic FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.