Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Celtic FC win on 2025-12-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f35a0184f7771d09d36cce5689c300fdd209d5f65904fec4eb6dfc1b1c3a981
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,108
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,489
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,108 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked No | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,239.96 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed Yes | 59c | 2,464$1,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.49 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 56c | 2,063$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.24 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 42c | 2,052$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,186.36 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 1,699$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.82 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 46c | 1,646$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.34 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8366…21ebbacked No | 65c | 1,239$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c6…367dbacked Yes | 21c | 992.41$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.39 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 44c | 974.12$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.12 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa21f…adddbacked Yes | 62c | 808.48$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 56c | 625$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 72c | 590.41$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.15 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8637…9657backed No | 73c | 343$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.61 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0f…a7e4backed Yes | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 12c | 217.24$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…49b7backed Yes | 50c | 201.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 106 | 17.9%19 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 351 | 54.7%192 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 58c | 155.03$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.84 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 45c | 149.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd29b…b518backed Yes | 60c | 118.33$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22b2…e7cfbacked Yes | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 36c | 91.31$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.81 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed No | 43c | 80.6$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.02 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 40c | 78.33$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed No | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…4323backed Yes | 28c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 52c | 69.05$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.91 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf0…95fbbacked Yes | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked No | 42c | 66.98$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.85 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35b7…c701backed Yes | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 45c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…2ba1backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 63c | 35.39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…f083backed Yes | 56c | 34.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c08…e7b6backed Yes | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 45c | 29.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e87…7e73backed No | 41c | 26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c0…f2bebacked Yes | 59c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb259…72fbbacked Yes | 58c | 19.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Celtic FC win on 2025-12-30?this page
- Will Motherwell FC vs. Celtic FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Motherwell FC win on 2025-12-30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.