Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Dundee FC win on 2025-12-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e25f202658b1c8372742093d4705166fd416ad99d050fc64190bb81cdc3d69c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,633
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,002
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,633 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 2,096$1,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,431.72 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1a…d9abbacked Yes | 28c | 865.91$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.91 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Yes | 35c | 720$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 65c | 402.78$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.09 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 46c | 393.4$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.07 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Yes | 36c | 344.44$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.44 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 106 | 17.9%19 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8e…349fbacked Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20fb…e5fabacked Yes | 34c | 159.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.59 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 36c | 138$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.01 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 12c | 136.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 21c | 123.37$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked No | 65c | 121.71$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.11 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…228ebacked Yes | 35c | 98.86$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked Yes | 35c | 95.8$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.27 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf9…0930backed Yes | 35c | 56.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 104 | 39.4%41 W · 63 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 44c | 53.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a0…35b6backed Yes | 35c | 47.8$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…c966backed Yes | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 26cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Yes | 73c | 40.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 65c | 39.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…2d96backed Yes | 35c | 32.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +182.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Yes | 78c | 24.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.43 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 73c | 21.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Dundee FC win on 2025-12-30?this page
- Will Dundee FC vs. Kilmarnock FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Kilmarnock FC win on 2025-12-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.