Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Dundee FC vs. Kilmarnock FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x347184f71fca5d2ad33edf2d1c48ae731d1790fba3194a9e9f11814fb37da0f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,602
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,507
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,602 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 34c | 1,871$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 32c | 1,561$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.56 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 68c | 853$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.17 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 66c | 745.75$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.55 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 58c | 561.47$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.69 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 61c | 428.53$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.28 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 31c | 381$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.08 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 65c | 375.11$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.29 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 68c | 364.08$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.51 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 68c | 262.37$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.21 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 68c | 247.91$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.16 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8e…349fbacked Yes | 51c | 205.88$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 70c | 204.12$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.24 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…842cbacked Yes | 32c | 110.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 351 | 54.7%192 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477b…1dd3backed No | 69c | 78$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 33c | 70$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x694c…eb70backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed No | 71c | 56.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.41 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 70c | 53.83$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6e…0011backed Yes | 31c | 41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c46…8471backed Yes | 31c | 37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed No | 69c | 25.06$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed No | 79c | 23.35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 71c | 21.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 69c | 17.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62d0…27d9backed No | 71c | 16.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -65%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Dundee FC vs. Kilmarnock FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Dundee FC win on 2025-12-30?Yes won
- Will Kilmarnock FC win on 2025-12-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.